Match Info

SHL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Rögle		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.8	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.53	3.65	2.55
	2.5	3.66	2.56	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.4
	2.51	4.05	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.49)	3.76 ↓ (3.84)	2.51 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
37.4%

Draw
25%

Skellefteå
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

26.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Skellefteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Rögle - Skellefteå Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rögle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	38. Mann S. (G)
58. Johansson F.	25. Johansson P.
44. de Haan C.	52. Lundberg A.
52. Nilsson F.	71. Davidsson J.
22. Olofsson F. (A)	33. Forsfjall Z.
62. Horky L.	22. Johnson J.
Line 2
95. Friedman M.	64. Pudas J. (C)
24. Goransson M.	3. Grahn V.
67. Bristedt L. (A)	29. Aagaard M.
23. Dickinson J.	24. Lindberg O.
83. Kuhlman K.	96. Hugg R. (A)
Line 3
6. LaDue P.	43. Krogdahl M.
51. Sjalin C.	57. Djuse E.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	14. Johnson A.
37. Sundsvik A.	9. Stjernborg V.
8. Sandin L.	15. Bryggman L.
Line 4
45. Biber G.	6. Forsfjall M.
32. Solberg I.	12. Lindberg V.
27. Sjodin L.	17. Lindholm P. (A)
41. Zether S.	8. Okuliar O.
Substitutes
20. Jarbsjo M.	31. Lampinen J. (G)
30. Nyman A. (G)	27. Lundberg M.
65. Rifalk C. (G)	32. Soderstrom L. (G)
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Hermansson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
08:30, 0 - 1, Djuse E. (G), Davidsson J. (A), Forsfjall Z. (A2)
15:13, 0 - 2, Grahn V. (G), Pudas J. (A), Okuliar O. (A2)
18:21, 1 - 2, Olofsson F. (G), Bristedt L. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
07:55, Sandin L. (Penalty Shot),
11:55, Goransson M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:22, 1 - 3, Lindholm P. (G), Okuliar O. (A), Lindberg V. (A2)
12:29, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
14:26, 2 - 3, Sandin L. (G), Bengtsson A. (A), Kuhlman K. (A2)

Preview

Skelleftea leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rögle is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Skellefteå is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rögle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 38:50. (average 1.9:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 2.3:2.6).

Outrights of SHL for now

Skelleftea: 19.61% Rogle: 10.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Skelleftea	7	3	1	1	2	25:19	12
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
28.04.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	2:1 OT ✺
25.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	5:1 ✺
23.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	4:1 ✺
16.04.26	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	2:3 ✺
14.04.26	Rögle - Växjö Lakers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWW
- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
28.04.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	2:1 OT ✺
25.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	5:1 ✺
23.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
28.04.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	2:1 OT
25.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	5:1
23.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	4:1
10.03.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	3:5
24.01.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	5:0
20.11.25	Rögle - Skellefteå	2:3
16.09.25	Skellefteå - Rögle	5:2

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