Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.98	4.12	3.1	Watch
	1.95	3.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.11)	3.99 ↑ (3.84)	3.03 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
46.7%

Draw
23%

Bars Kazan
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

23.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

23.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

SKA VMF - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)	24. Bogatov N. (A)
5. Yarullin A.	39. Almetkin V.
19. Zinchenko I. (A)	61. Gizatullin D.
88. Lazutin D.	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
97. Nugmanov A.	88. Alshevsky Y.
Line 2
68. Beshkorov K.	71. Samigullin R.
80. Gryaznov G.	60. Lisov N.
59. Nikolayev A.	10. Galeyev I.
24. Sharov A. (C)	98. Saberzyanov M.
23. Osipov G.	93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
27. Sapunov V.	53. Makhmutov A.
84. Vydrenkov I.	26. Taimazov A.
89. Surayev N.	19. Onishko N.
17. Kabush M.	28. Golubev D. (C)
83. Shamshurin S.	55. Sherstnyov D.
Line 4
63. Anisimov S.	16. Toporkov V.
6. Marchenko K.	5. Mubaraksins A.
40. Proskurnin A.	90. Gabdrakhmanov E.
16. Demidov S.	96. Nazmutdinov A.
	32. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
96. Kabat M.	80. Chibizov A. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:42, 0 - 1, Golubev D. (G), Onishko N. (A), Sherstnyov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:17, 0 - 2, Alshevsky S. (G), Alshevsky Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 2.

SKA-VMF is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bars is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SKA-VMF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.

Recently, Bars has had a series of home games.

SKA-VMF could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that SKA-VMF will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 49:42. (average 2.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 2.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
22.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dynamo-Altay - SKA-VMF	3:5 ✺
15.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - SKA-VMF	6:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - SKA-VMF	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWW
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
29.12.25	Bars Kazan - Dynamo-Altay	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:6 ✺
25.12.25	Bars Kazan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
23.12.25	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:4 ✺
18.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.11.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:0
27.02.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:2
21.09.24	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties
05.12.23	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	2:3
07.11.23	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.23	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	1:0
VHL
27.11.22	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	3:4

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