Match Info

VHL

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.62	4.2	1.81	Watch
	3.75	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.08)	4.1 ↑ (4.05)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
24.9%

Draw
22.4%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

22.6%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

21.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Chibizov A. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
24. Bogatov N.	47. Churkin V.
39. Almetkin V.	51. Mineyev M.
61. Khasanov I.	17. Sokolov D.
55. Sherstnyov D.	21. Kodola V.
41. Klimkin I.	59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
22. Bardin I.	54. Chibrikov I.
60. Lisov N.	9. Belov D.
10. Galeyev I.	88. Shalagin M.
98. Saberzyanov M.	50. Kurbatov V.
93. Barsukov I.	33. Shablovsky Z.
Line 3
75. Ivanov A.	8. Naumov V.
26. Taimazov A.	53. Shchemerov A.
17. Gizatullin D.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
28. Golubev D.	24. Khrapov F.
64. Gazizov R.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	5. Pozhidaev A.
71. Samigullin R.	75. Starikov L.
67. Shablov A.	18. Serdyuk Y.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	89. Guslistov N.
88. Alshevsky Y.	87. Gerasimov S.
Substitutes
1. Mukhamov B. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:48, 1 - 0, Barsukov I. (G), Klimkin I. (A), Gizatullin D. (A2)
08:44, 1 - 1, Shablovsky Z. (G), Shchemerov A. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
10:57, 1 - 2, Shalagin M. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Sheshin D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:16, 1 - 3, Sheshin D. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
15:20, 1 - 4, Starikov L. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:40, 2 - 4, Gizatullin D. (G), Sherstnyov D. (A), Almetkin V. (A2)
11:00, 2 - 5, Sokolov D. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
18:16, 2 - 6, Perevalov A. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 1.

In recent matches, Bars has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metallurg N is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Metallurg N could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 49:62. (average 2.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.75%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
25.12.25	Bars Kazan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
23.12.25	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:4 ✺
18.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Rostov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
14.12.25	Tambov - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
25.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:1 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Chelny - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
21.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
15.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - SKA-VMF	6:1 ✺
13.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:2
25.12.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	2:5
27.11.24	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:6 penalties
15.12.23	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties
28.10.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	3:2
15.02.23	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 penalties
13.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties

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