Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.05	3.63	Watch
	1.76	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.68)	3.9 ↓ (4)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
51%

Draw
23.6%

Norilsk
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

21.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

20.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-1%)

Bars Kazan - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Chibizov A. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	28. Makeyev N.
39. Almetkin V.	98. Abdeyev I.
88. Alshevsky Y.	56. Mokin N. (C)
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	11. Shevchenko V. (A)
41. Klimkin I.	19. Aksenov A.
Line 2
75. Ivanov A.	44. Kovalev I.
26. Taimazov A.	51. Popov O.
10. Galeyev I.	71. Golodnyuk S.
98. Saberzyanov M.	89. Gorbunov D. (A)
93. Barsukov I.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 3
22. Bardin I.	79. Chebykin Y.
60. Lisov N.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
17. Gizatullin D.	92. Yakovlev Y.
28. Golubev D. (C)	93. Korenev I.
61. Khasanov I.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	64. Minayev Y.
71. Samigullin R.	18. Alexeyev D.
90. Gabdrakhmanov E.	91. Lazarev A.
55. Sherstnyov D.	74. Lapshin I.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	97. Leontyev A.
Substitutes
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:03, 1 - 0, Klimkin I. (G), Alshevsky S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 4)
02:08, 1 - 1, Mokin N. (G), Shevchenko V. (A),
02:51, 1 - 2, Shevchenko V. (G), Abdeyev I. (A), Kovalev I. (A2)
06:43, 1 - 3, Mokin N. (G), Yakovlev Y. (A), Minayev Y. (A2)
16:43, 1 - 4, Aksenov A. (G), Kovalev I. (A), Golodnyuk S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bars is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bars will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 2.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 2.3:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 52.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
18.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Rostov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
14.12.25	Tambov - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
08.12.25	Bars Kazan - Buran Voronezh	4:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bars Kazan - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
21.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
19.12.25	Chelny - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
10.12.25	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.11.25	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3
29.12.24	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3
21.11.24	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	3:4 OT
12.02.24	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	0:4
08.09.23	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	5:4 OT
17.08.23	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:2 OT

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