Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk) 🌤️ ...


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.11	6.88
	1.37	5.4	6.57	Watch
	1.28	7.25	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	5.92 ↑ (5.02)	6.82 ↓ (7.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
70.6%

Draw
15.7%

Norilsk
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

18.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

17.9%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-1%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Nosov G. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
90. Sumin A. (A)	28. Makeyev N.
4. Chetverikov D.	98. Abdeyev I.
88. Bulatov A.	71. Golodnyuk S.
50. Komkov D.	89. Gorbunov D. (A)
9. Bykov M.	63. Yemets I.
Line 2
55. Semyonov G.	79. Chebykin Y.
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	21. Kolomiytsev I.
98. Avramenko I.	56. Mokin N. (C)
63. Platonov Y.	11. Shevchenko V. (A)
99. Zhulin T.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	18. Alexeyev D.
8. Mulyukov I.	44. Kovalev I.
32. Yakupov R.	93. Korenev I.
17. Kulikov P.	74. Lapshin I.
71. Shakirov R.	19. Aksenov A.
Line 4
89. Onishko A.	51. Popov O.
87. Rakhimullin A.	58. Yadykin Y.
19. Khlopotov V. (A)	17. Dergunov P.
77. Marushev M.	97. Leontyev A.
Substitutes
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
09:41, 1 - 0, Shakirov R. (G), Yakupov R. (A),
15:01, 1 - 1, Skorikov D. (G), Shevchenko V. (A),
16:34, 1 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Skorikov D. (A),
19:28, 2 - 2, Bykov M. (G), Shakirov R. (A), Yakupov R. (A2)
19:57, 3 - 2, Zhulin T. (G), Chetverikov D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:41, 3 - 3, Mokin N. (G), Makeyev N. (A), Shevchenko V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:09, 3 - 4, Popov O. (G), Aksenov A. (A), Korenev I. (A2)

Preview

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norilsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
12.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties ✺
10.12.25	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
08.12.25	Tambov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
02.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Buran Voronezh	5:0 ✺
30.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
10.12.25	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Norilsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
30.11.25	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	4:0 ✺
28.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.11.25	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:0
27.12.24	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2
17.11.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	1:2
18.02.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:2
02.09.23	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties

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