Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	SKA-VMF		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.36	4.4
	1.62	4.34	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	4.35 (4.35)	4.47 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
57.3%

Draw
21.6%

Rostov
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

21.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

26%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

SKA VMF - Rostov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Saranchuk G. (G)	20. Puzyakov M. (G)
54. Gorokhov S.	62. Dimitrov N.
80. Gryaznov G. (C)	11. Tsalpanov Y.
39. Kuzminov Y.	28. Klimov D.
17. Kabush M. (A)	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
91. Lutfullin I.	95. Korbit Y.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	49. Balanov Y. (A)
48. Salnikov E.	6. Gapochkin R.
16. Demidov S.	78. Kondyrev K.
38. Gurzanov Y.	25. Sedantsov O.
23. Osipov G.	26. Urulin S. (A)
Line 3
63. Anisimov S. (A)	94. Voronin N.
27. Sapunov V.	5. Makarov S.
96. Kabat M.	17. Smolyov I.
24. Sharov A.	32. Barsukov T.
82. Mamaladze D.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 4
99. Rogachyov T.	55. Machugin D.
11. Gorbushin M.	64. Sorokin S.
83. Shamshurin S.	23. Kamensky Y.
13. Kuzmin I.	88. Voloskov G.
Substitutes
52. Moysevich P. (G)	31. Kapustin K. (G)
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:21, 1 - 0, Gorbushin M. (G), Kuzmin I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:34, 2 - 0, Kabush M. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Demidov S. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:54, 3 - 0, Kuzmin I. (G), Shamshurin S. (A), Gorbushin M. (A2)
11:38, 4 - 0, Sharov A. (G), Mamaladze D. (A),
17:36, 5 - 0, Sharov A. (G), Mamaladze D. (A), Kabat M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.

In this match, SKA-VMF is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 3.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 3.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	12	6	2	0	4	32:21	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
11.03.26	SKA-VMF - Buran Voronezh	3:0 ✺
03.03.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT ✺
27.02.26	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Omskie Krylia - SKA-VMF	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWL
- HC Rostov
VHL
06.03.26	Rostov - Norilsk	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Rostov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rostov - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 OT ✺
25.02.26	Tambov - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.09.25	Rostov - SKA-VMF	3:0
24.12.24	SKA-VMF - Rostov	1:2 penalties
19.11.24	Rostov - SKA-VMF	2:1
15.12.23	Rostov - SKA-VMF	5:2
30.10.23	SKA-VMF - Rostov	3:2
13.02.23	Rostov - SKA-VMF	1:3
11.09.22	SKA-VMF - Rostov	4:1

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