Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	5.99	4.83	1.43
	5.65	5.1	1.44	Watch
	5.33	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (5.82)	4.89 ↓ (4.97)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rostov
16.2%

Draw
18.7%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

18.8%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

20.6%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Metallurg Novokuznetsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	47. Churkin V.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	75. Starikov L.
28. Klimov D.	14. Mikhalyov V.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	21. Kodola V.
95. Korbit Y.	61. Gorshkov A. (C)
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	8. Naumov V.
6. Gapochkin R.	9. Belov D.
78. Kondyrev K.	89. Guslistov N.
17. Smolyov I.	43. Verba M. (A)
26. Urulin S. (A)	88. Shalagin M.
Line 3
44. Grishin P.	77. Vinogradov A.
5. Makarov S.	46. Berezin M. (A)
15. Kuznetsov A.	17. Sokolov D.
32. Barsukov T.	24. Khrapov F.
8. Sokolov D.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
Line 4
47. Krikunov V.	54. Chibrikov I.
64. Sorokin S.	18. Serdyuk Y.
25. Sedantsov O.	50. Kurbatov V.
23. Kamensky Y.	59. Perevalov A.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	71. Grzheletsky M.
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	42. Kondyukov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:02, 0 - 1, Churkin V. (G),
05:19, 0 - 2, Starikov L. (G), Perevalov A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:48, 1 - 2, Klimov D. (G), Korbit Y. (A), Balanov Y. (A2)
07:20, 1 - 3, Perevalov A. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
13:41, 1 - 4, Shalagin M. (G),

Preview

Metallurg N is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 0.

Recent performances by Rostov have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metallurg N is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metallurg N is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:47. (average 2.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 2.4:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	13	7	0	3	3	24:14	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 5.82 are the expected chance of winning is 16.06%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.12%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
28.02.26	Rostov - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 OT ✺
25.02.26	Tambov - Rostov	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rostov - Torpedo-Gorky	2:6 ✺
19.02.26	Rostov - Buran Voronezh	8:4 ✺
14.02.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rostov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
28.02.26	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:5 ✺
22.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 OT ✺
20.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	6:3 ✺
16.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Omskie Krylia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	3:2
02.02.25	Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:6
20.10.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	3:1
25.12.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	4:3 OT
19.10.23	Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:5
01.02.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	2:1 penalties
21.09.22	Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 penalties

Upcoming Matches