Match Info

VHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.72	2.52
	2.43	3.82	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.65)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)	2.52 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
38.2%

Draw
24.7%

Norilsk
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

24.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25.9%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Rostov - Norilsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norilsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	98. Abdeyev I.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	82. Bulychyov G.
28. Klimov D.	63. Yemets I.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
95. Korbit Y.	71. Golodnyuk S. (A)
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	18. Alexeyev D.
6. Gapochkin R.	3. Kudryashov I.
78. Kondyrev K.	7. Kirileichenko M.
25. Sedantsov O.	10. Lipanov A.
26. Urulin S. (A)	56. Mokin N. (C)
Line 3
94. Voronin N.	64. Minayev Y.
44. Grishin P.	72. Korchemkin D.
17. Smolyov I.	99. Kandakov D.
32. Barsukov T.	58. Yadykin Y.
8. Sokolov D.	81. Barinov S.
Line 4
5. Makarov S.	44. Kovalev I.
64. Sorokin S.	69. Skorikov D.
23. Kamensky Y.	86. Melnichenko K.
15. Kuznetsov A.	14. Sinyatkin S.
Substitutes
31. Kapustin K. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:54, 0 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G), Yemets I. (A),
08:05, 0 - 2, Yakovlev Y. (G), Kovalev I. (A), Golodnyuk S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
18:57, 0 - 3, Mokin N. (G),
19:31, 1 - 3, Barsukov T. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Rostov have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norilsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Rostov will win today's game, with odds of 2.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 3.4:5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 5:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Norilsk - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
04.03.26	Rostov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rostov - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 OT ✺
25.02.26	Tambov - Rostov	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rostov - Torpedo-Gorky	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWL
- HK Norilsk
VHL
04.03.26	Buran Voronezh - Norilsk	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:5 ✺
23.02.26	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Norilsk - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.09.25	Norilsk - Rostov	3:2
06.02.25	Rostov - Norilsk	8:3
15.10.24	Norilsk - Rostov	6:2
22.11.23	Rostov - Norilsk	2:5
15.11.23	Norilsk - Rostov	8:3

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