Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.94	3.25
	2.06	3.92	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.36)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)	3.15 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
46.3%

Draw
23.9%

Zauralie Kurgan
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SKA-VMF's performance.

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA-VMF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

SKA VMF - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Ivanov	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
27. Sapunov V.	3. Shikun A.
47. Zelenov Y. (C)	79. Isayev I. (C)
38. Gurzanov Y. (A)	11. Ryzhov K.
17. Kabush M. (A)	98. Govorkov R.
97. Nugmanov A.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
68. Beshkorov K.	50. Pozhidaev A.
81. Slivchenko M.	13. Ugolnikov A.
18. Nedopyokin N.	93. Kozlov I.
91. Lutfullin I.	17. Lipanov A.
Line 3
14. Shekhovtsov Y.	16. Avvakumov I.
21. Kalinin N.	77. Belyakov F. (A)
82. Mamaladze D.	97. Bogdanov A.
88. Lazutin D.	34. Tagirov K.
23. Osipov G.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
Line 4
80. Gryaznov G.	37. Afridanov I.
96. Kabat M.	66. Pasmanik L.
40. Proskurnin A.	12. Kovyazin I.
13. Kuzmin I.	7. Baldayev D.
Substitutes
85. Kapchuk S.	60. Gorbunov I. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:04, 0 - 1, Kozlov I. (G), Kovyazin I. (A), Tagirov K. (A2)
08:33, 0 - 2, Kovyazin I. (G), Shikun A. (A), Baldayev D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:38, 1 - 2, Nedopyokin N. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Beshkorov K. (A2)
13:01, 2 - 2, Kabat M. (G), Kabush M. (A), Beshkorov K. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:39, 2 - 3, Komaristy A. (G), Kozhemyakin G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of home games.

SKA-VMF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:39. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.3:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
17.09.25	SKA-VMF - Omskie Krylia	2:1 OT ✺
11.09.25	Tambov - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
09.09.25	Rostov - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Buran Voronezh - SKA-VMF	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
17.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zauralie Kurgan	4:0 ✺
10.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
08.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
04.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - CSK VVS Samara	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.01.25	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	3:2
09.11.24	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	3:6
10.01.24	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	2:5
13.10.23	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2
28.01.23	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3
25.09.22	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	3:5
28.11.21	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1

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