Match Info

VHL

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	3.59	3.75	1.91
	4.15	3.99	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.15)	3.87 ↓ (3.99)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
23.9%

Draw
23.9%

SKA-VMF
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

22.6%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

22.5%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	27. Sapunov V.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	47. Zelenov Y. (C)
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	38. Gurzanov Y. (A)
21. Sergiyevsky Y.	17. Kabush M. (A)
8. Sokolov D.	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	5. Yarullin A.
6. Gapochkin R.	68. Beshkorov K.
26. Urulin S.	81. Slivchenko M.
25. Sedantsov O.	88. Lazutin D.
9. Myagkov V.	23. Osipov G.
Line 3
37. Opotsky R.	63. Anisimov S.
5. Makarov S.	80. Gryaznov G.
24. Karlin R.	85. Kapchuk S.
7. Galushkin A.	79. Graf Y.
17. Smolyov I.	93. Filippov A.
Line 4
53. Ibragimov S.	21. Kalinin N.
98. Levinsky A. (A)	96. Kabat M.
23. Kamensky Y.	82. Mamaladze D.
15. Kuznetsov A.	13. Kuzmin I.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	52. Moysevich P. (G)
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	74. Podlyagin N. (G)
	40. Proskurnin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:03, 1 - 0, Kalmykov D. (G),
18:39, 2 - 0, Urulin S. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:59, 3 - 0, Opotsky R. (G), Smolyov I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, SKA-VMF is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 2.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 2.3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 21.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
07.09.25	Rostov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 ✺
03.09.25	Rostov - Tambov	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Buran Voronezh - Rostov	4:2 ✺
26.08.25	Buran Voronezh - Rostov	4:1 ✺
12.08.25	Rostov - Kristall Saratov	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLW
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
07.09.25	Buran Voronezh - SKA-VMF	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:4 ✺
24.08.25	Omskie Krylia - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
23.08.25	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.12.24	SKA-VMF - Rostov	1:2 penalties
19.11.24	Rostov - SKA-VMF	2:1
15.12.23	Rostov - SKA-VMF	5:2
30.10.23	SKA-VMF - Rostov	3:2
13.02.23	Rostov - SKA-VMF	1:3
11.09.22	SKA-VMF - Rostov	4:1
02.02.22	SKA-VMF - Rostov	9:4

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