Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	SKA-VMF		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.66	3.49
	1.69	3.55	3.40
	1.78	4.14	3.73	Watch
	1.79	4.00	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	3.84 ↓ (4.05)	3.54 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
51.4%

Draw
23.4%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

23.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA-VMF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo St. Petersburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SKA VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
87. Popov D. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
57. Sevostyanov A.	38. Berdyukov G. (C)
85. Zhuravlev Y.	67. Sarayev V.
38. Gurzanov Y.	43. Kalinin M.
15. Busarov G. (C)	31. Mikhailov V.
91. Lutfullin I.	96. Zinchenko I.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	19. Shepelev A.
6. Lukichyov A.	86. Ryabykin Y.
17. Kabush M.	57. Golikov M.
32. Barabanov V.	9. Davydov D.
44. Dyadenkin D.	56. Kazakovtsev I.
Line 3
80. Gryaznov G. (A)	79. Gusev M. M.
14. Shekhovtsov Y.	26. Salakhov M. (A)
18. Slivchenko M.	22. Anokhovsky N.
22. Sorokin Y.	12. Rasskazov K.
97. Nugmanov A.	88. Ogirchuk D.
Line 4
81. Varlakov A.	70. Rodionov Y.
88. Kapchuk S.	90. Kozlov I.
95. Shevchenko D. (A)	58. Ilyin D. (A)
93. Filippov A.	24. Avershin D.
Substitutes
31. Saranchuk G. (G)	74. Podsukha I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:18, 1 - 0, Busarov G. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Gurzanov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:07, 2 - 0, Gurzanov Y. (G), Busarov G. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:07, 3 - 0, Barabanov V. (G), Sevostyanov A. (A), Dyadenkin D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 4.

SKA-VMF has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Dinamo SP have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dinamo SP may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

SKA-VMF carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SKA-VMF has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:40 (averaging 2.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SKA-VMF against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 35:22 goals (averaging 3.5:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
17	Dinamo St. Petersburg	12	5	1	1	5	35:39	13

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.72%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
02.10.26	Khimik - SKA-VMF	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
02.10.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Khimik - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 AET ✺
22.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:1
02.09.25	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:4
VHL
08.03.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	1:5
05.11.24	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.08.24	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 OT
VHL
21.01.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	2:1

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