The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sakhalinskie Akuly 17.1%
Draw 18.8%
Dinamo St. Petersburg 64.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
19.5%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
19.4%
54.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakhalinskie Akuly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakhalinskie Akuly's form might have worsened.
Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo St. Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakhalinskie Akuly than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakhalinskie Akuly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Bai Y. (G)
98. Polyatsko Y.
95. Ovchinnikov Y.
8. Plekhov A. (C)
72. Kryuk S.
6. Aksarov V.
Line 2
7. Mustayev A.
89. Kozyrev V.
17. Cherepanov S.
97. Terentyev M. (A)
96. Ignatenko V.
Line 3
37. Svetlakov T.
55. Vakhrushev M.
9. Kartashov N.
26. Bykov V. (A)
77. Belov L.
Line 4
21. Goryachev A.
86. Kozlov I.
64. Leichenko A.
82. Bannov D.
11. Vinogradov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:26, 0 - 1, Golikov M. (G), Rakhimov R. (A), Kalinin M. (A2)
16:19, 1 - 1, Plekhov A. (G), Bykov V. (A), Ovchinnikov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 3)
03:46, 1 - 2, Maksimov N. (G), Bakhtov V. (A),
05:39, 2 - 2, Plekhov A. (G), Vinogradov S. (A),
09:41, 3 - 2, Kozyrev V. (G), Cherepanov S. (A),
10:33, 3 - 3, Bakhtov V. (G), Starshinov N. (A), Sharapov D. (A2)
19:56, 3 - 4, Golikov M. (G), Bakhtov V. (A), Kalinin M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 1.
Sakhalinskie Akuly is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Dinamo SP is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sakhalinskie Akuly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Dinamo SP is the team to beat.
We predict that Dinamo SP will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 32:64. (average 1.6:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 2:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Sakhalinskie Akuly - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.13%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.