Match Info

WCH IIA

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ice House (Melbourne)


	Serbia		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.24	6.25	7
	1.25	6.45	6.95
	1.25	6.6	7.62	Watch
	1.15	6.5	10
	1.25	6.35	7.5
	1.25	6.45	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	6.43 ↑ (5.51)	7.67 ↑ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serbia
74%

Draw
14.2%

Australia
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

16.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serbia's performance.

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Serbia - Australia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:19, 1 - 0, Gvozdenovic A. (G), Subotic S. (A), Vucurevic N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:01, 2 - 0, Lestaric L. (G), Dragovic M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:16, 3 - 0, Gvozdenovic A. (G),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Serbia won 1.

Serbia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Serbia is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Serbia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:21 (average 3.1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia hockey
Friendly International Ice Hockey
16.04.25	Serbia - Croatia	2:1 ✺
IIHF World Championship IIA
27.04.24	Serbia - Croatia	0:3 ✺
25.04.24	United Arab Emirates - Serbia	2:5 ✺
24.04.24	Serbia - Iceland	9:3 ✺
22.04.24	Serbia - Israel	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Australia hockey
IIHF World Championship IIA
27.04.24	Australia - United Arab Emirates	4:5 ✺
25.04.24	Iceland - Australia	2:3 ✺
24.04.24	Australia - Israel	4:5 penalties ✺
22.04.24	Croatia - Australia	3:2 ✺
21.04.24	Australia - Serbia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IIA
21.04.24	Australia - Serbia	2:4
10.04.19	Australia - Serbia	3:2
28.04.18	Serbia - Australia	4:5 penalties
03.04.17	Australia - Serbia	4:3 OT
16.04.15	Serbia - Australia	3:4 penalties
15.04.14	Australia - Serbia	0:1
17.04.13	Australia - Serbia	3:5

Serbia - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide