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Current Win Probability
Sheffield Steelers 42.5%
Draw 21.4%
Cardiff Devils 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
20.5%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
22.4%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheffield Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Cardiff Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Steelers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Devils than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Greenfield M. (G)
33. Bowns B. (G)
59. Erkamps M.
6. Estes B.
58. Cormier D.
52. Oligny J. (A)
93. Archambault O.
79. Barrow R.
74. Whistle B.
63. Mieho P.
92. Balmas M. (A)
11. Caron T.
Line 2
65. Diffley B.
22. Welsh N.
57. Roe L.
20. Fournier G.
71. Teissala L.
21. Olischefski K.
75. Dowd R. (C)
88. Martin J. (C)
62. Jasper E.
92. MacDonald J.
Line 3
3. Steele L.
17. Richardson M. (A)
77. Aarnio A.
25. Brandt R.
72. Bjorkly Nordstrom I.
57. Yaremko N.
81. Collins S.
5. Davies B.
25. Gettinger T.
Line 4
2. Stucker R.
77. Harewood B.
8. Tait R.
28. Sacratini J.
63. Juusola M.
Substitutes
44. Brine L. (G)
30. Stoever C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
09:17, 0 - 1, Barrow R. (G), Mieho P. (A),
19:33, 1 - 1, Whistle B. (G), Cormier D. (A), Archambault O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:42, 2 - 1, Balmas M. (G), Juusola M. (A), Diffley B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:48, 3 - 1, Erkamps M. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheffield Steelers won 1.
Sheffield Steelers is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cardiff Devils has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cardiff Devils may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sheffield Steelers has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:68 (averaging 2.9:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sheffield Steelers against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 31:20 goals (averaging 3.4:2.2 per game).
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Greenfield M. (G) 
Bowns B. (G) 
Erkamps M. 
Mieho P. 
Sacratini J. 
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