Match Info

Date: 18 January 2022, Tuesday


	Sierre		Academy Zug

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	5.5
	1.36	5.5	5.5
	1.36	5	6
	1.32	5.1	5.7
	1.36	5.5	5.5
	1.38	5.5	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)	5.35 ↑ (4.9)	5.72 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sierre
67.1%

Draw
17%

Academy Zug
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

18.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

13.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sierre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sierre's performance.

Academy Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sierre than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sierre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academy Zug than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Academy Zug could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sierre - Academy Zug Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sierre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Academy Zug have a series of guest games.

In this match Sierre is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sierre won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 54-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Sierre won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 34-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sierre
Swiss League Hockey
23.12.21	Sierre - Langenthal	2:3 ✺
21.12.21	EHC Kloten - Sierre	3:1 ✺
19.12.21	Bellinzona Snakes - Sierre	2:6 ✺
11.12.21	Sierre - La Chaux-de-Fonds	2:5 ✺
07.12.21	Thurgau - Sierre	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- EVZ Academy Zug
Swiss League Hockey
14.01.22	Winterthur - Academy Zug	1:2 ✺
21.12.21	Thurgau - Academy Zug	5:2 ✺
19.12.21	Olten - Academy Zug	4:0 ✺
11.12.21	Academy Zug - Langenthal	0:2 ✺
07.12.21	Visp - Academy Zug	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
28.11.21	Academy Zug - Sierre	3:1
19.10.21	Sierre - Academy Zug	8:1
05.10.21	Academy Zug - Sierre	1:2 OT
06.02.21	Sierre - Academy Zug	2:3 OT
11.01.21	Sierre - Academy Zug	7:1
02.01.21	Academy Zug - Sierre	4:9
11.10.20	Academy Zug - Sierre	1:4

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