The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slovan Ústečtí Lvi 30.8%
Draw 20%
Kadaň 49.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
19.6%
51.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
20.7%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slovan Ústečtí Lvi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Kadaň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Ústečtí Lvi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kadaň than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:24, 0 - 1, Bystricky J. (G), Hrebicek M. (A),
07:13, 1 - 1, Stehlik L. (G), Kubat K. (A), Sykora L. (A2)
07:35, 2 - 1, Nagy M. (G),
2nd Period (5 - 1)
01:22, 3 - 1, Caloun L. (G), Nagy M. (A), Sykora L. (A2)
06:52, 4 - 1, Stehlik L. (G), Nedved Z. (A), Jouza D. (A2)
08:53, 5 - 1, Werner A. (G), Kuchynka S. (A), Duda J. (A2)
09:38, 6 - 1, Caloun L. (G), Nagy M. (A),
10:34, 6 - 2, Matai J. (G), Trefny J. (A), Vrtek V. (A2)
14:11, 7 - 2, Sykora L. (G), Caloun L. (A), Kubat K. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
12:48, 7 - 3, Stary M. (G), Hynek F. (A), Trefny J. (A2)
14:06, 8 - 3, Duda J. (G),
17:51, 9 - 3, Smola J. (G), Kuchynka S. (A),
18:38, 10 - 3, Funk L. (G), Jouza D. (A), Stehlik L. (A2)
19:09, 10 - 4, Stary M. (G), Vrtek V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ústečtí Lvi won 3.
Ústečtí Lvi is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kadaň shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ústečtí Lvi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ústečtí Lvi has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kadaň holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kadaň in today's match, at odds of 1.76.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ústečtí Lvi has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 94:61 (averaging 4.7:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ústečtí Lvi against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 54:22 goals (averaging 5.4:2.2 per game).
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