Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Arena Riga (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore Sport
Germany	Sport 1+
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Slovenia		Norway

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.2	1.8	Watch
	3.6	4.25	1.8
	3.55	4.3	1.82
	3.29	4.01	1.88
	3.25	4.33	1.85
	3.65	4.1	1.81	Watch
	3.75	4.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.5)	4.25 ↓ (4.5)	1.83 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenia
26.5%

Draw
22.1%

Norway
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

19.6%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovenia's performance.

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norway might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Slovenia - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Slovenia will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Norway will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovenia: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ WCH IA and 7).

Recent matches Slovenia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norway is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norway could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Norway will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Slovenia to win the game is with odds 3.44.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Slovenia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovenia hockey
IIHF World Championship
14.05.23	Slovenia - Canada	2:5 ✺
13.05.23	Switzerland - Slovenia	7:0 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
09.05.23	Denmark - Slovenia	1:3 ✺
04.05.23	Hungary - Slovenia	2:4 ✺
03.05.23	Hungary - Slovenia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW
- Norway hockey
IIHF World Championship
14.05.23	Norway - Switzerland	0:3 ✺
13.05.23	Norway - Kazakhstan	3:4 penalties ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
06.05.23	Norway - France	4:1 ✺
05.05.23	Norway - France	3:4 ✺
29.04.23	Denmark - Norway	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
27.08.21	Norway - Slovenia	7:4
20.02.18	Slovenia - Norway	1:2 OT
IIHF World Championship
09.05.17	Slovenia - Norway	1:5
08.05.15	Slovenia - Norway	1:3
04.05.13	Norway - Slovenia	3:1

Slovenia - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide