Match Info

Extraliga - Round 15

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: O2 Arena (Prague)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
World	European Icehockey Tipsport Extraliga TV


	Sparta Prague		Oceláři Třinec

	1	X	2
	2	4.3	3	Watch
	2.06	4.2	2.9
	2.12	3.85	3.02
	2.07	4.1	2.98	Watch
	2.15	4.25	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	2.91 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
45.1%

Draw
22.7%

Oceláři Třinec
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

22.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Třinec will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
43. Kovar J. (G)	2. Mazanec M. (G)
10. Pysyk M.	84. Kundratek T.
36. Krejcik J. (A)	52. Marincin M. (A)
26. Repik M. (A)	94. Nestrasil A.
51. Horak R.	87. Kovarcik M.
14. Chlapik F. (C)	34. Kovarcik O.
Line 2
24. Irving A.	55. Adamek M.
4. Sirota J.	6. Musil D.
16. Dzierkals M.	43. Kurovsky D.
89. Blaha O.	20. Vrana P. (A)
74. Raska A.	18. Flynn O.
Line 3
77. Nemecek D.	76. Galvas J.
28. Tomov N.	75. Nedomlel R.
38. Hyka T.	27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
34. Spacek M.	3. Sikora P.
23. Kousal P.	81. Cienciala D.
Line 4
80. Seppala N.	64. Koch P.
37. Vitouch M.	9. Kubiesa M.
83. Kutak F.	40. Roman M.
42. Vitouch D.	19. Hrehorcak P.
Substitutes
32. Korenar J. (G)	90. Kacetl O. (G)
85. Pospisil J.
Coaches
. Nedved J.	. Motak Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:16, 0 - 1, Flynn O. (G), Nedomlel R. (A),
12:16, 1 - 1, Horak R. (G), Chlapik F. (A), Repik M. (A2)
16:57, Blaha O. (2 min),
20:00, Vrana P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:47, Galvas J. (2 min),
16:17, Ruzicka Mart. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:39, Nemecek D. (2 min),
08:37, Raska A. (5 min),
08:37, Raska A. (2 min),
08:37, Hrehorcak P. (2 min),
10:44, 1 - 2, Cienciala D. (G), Sikora P. (A),
12:41, 1 - 3, Kovarcik O. (G), Cienciala D. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
14:25, Roman M. (2 min),
15:49, 1 - 4, Kovarcik M. (G),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Třinec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 54:40. (average 2.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 3.2:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta Prague - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sparta Prague
Czech Extraliga
19.10.25	Sparta Prague - Kometa Brno	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
14.10.25	Sparta Prague - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	4:0 ✺
Czech Extraliga
12.10.25	Sparta Prague - Motor České Budějovice	4:2 ✺
10.10.25	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	3:6 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
07.10.25	ZSC Lions - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
19.10.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Oceláři Třinec	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	3:5 ✺
10.10.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Oceláři Třinec - Vítkovice Steel	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
12.09.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	5:2
24.03.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	3:2
21.03.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	3:4 OT
20.03.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	3:2
17.03.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	2:1
16.03.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	4:3 OT
20.12.24	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	2:3

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