The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spokane Chiefs 64%
Draw 17.1%
Tri-City Americans 18.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.2%
19.3%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
20.5%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spokane Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Tri-City Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Chiefs than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spokane Chiefs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tri-City Americans than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Spokane Chiefs - Tri City Americans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Esler C. (G)
40. Wendt X. (G)
86. Brabenec J.
3. Adam J. (C)
23. Buckley T.
10. Bouchard A.
12. Burcar G. (A)
4. Byrne D.
10. Colmer P.
16. Champagne H.
17. Gillespie B.
26. Cheslock B.
26. Harrington C. (C)
22. Huk D.
11. Harris C.
19. Kraft O.
44. Howell M. (A)
20. Laing A.
91. Hughes E.
2. LeBret D.
15. Jarvis L.
27. Lima L.
5. Mayes N.
28. Martin G. (A)
19. McIntyre O.
24. Martinson C.
4. Roberts B.
5. McIsaac L.
47. Sather R. (A)
17. McKamey E.
2. Saunderson N.
29. Oliverio B.
7. Schoettler O.
11. Pavao C. (A)
88. Sparks T.
18. Peterson T.
96. Tomanek M.
21. Vanecek J. (A)
15. Wanner E.
Substitutes
35. Francisco B. (G)
35. Grout R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:42, 1 - 0, Harrington C. (G),
10:30, 1 - 1, Lima L. (G), Kraft O. (A), Peterson T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
07:50, 2 - 1, Sparks T. (G), Harrington C. (A), Burcar G. (A2)
12:08, 2 - 2, Huk D. (G), Pavao C. (A),
18:42, 3 - 2, Mayes N. (G), Sather R. (A), Harrington C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 4.
Spokane has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tri-City has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tri-City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tri-City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Spokane for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Spokane in today's match, at odds of 1.6.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Spokane has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 83:51 (averaging 4.2:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spokane against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 40:20 goals (averaging 5:2.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Spokane Chiefs - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Tri-City Americans - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.55%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.