Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: CHANCE LIGA - ROUND 45

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Kalich Arena (Litomerice)


	Stadion Litoměřice		Šumperk

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.75	3.8
	1.53	4.6	4.1
	1.55	4.5	4.3
	1.53	4.75	4.15
	1.5	4.5	4
	1.55	4.8	4.4
	1.59	4.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	4.64 ↑ (4.6)	4.15 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stadion Litoměřice
58.7%

Draw
19.5%

Šumperk
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

19.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

18.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stadion Litoměřice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Šumperk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stadion Litoměřice than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stadion Litoměřice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šumperk than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Stadion Litoměřice - Šumperk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Litoměřice won 2.

Litoměřice is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Šumperk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Litoměřice is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Litoměřice won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 61-58.

Including matches at home between the teams Litoměřice won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 35-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stadion Litoměřice
Czech Maxa Liga
01.02.23	Poruba - Stadion Litoměřice	1:3 ✺
30.01.23	Stadion Litoměřice - Slavia Prague	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Kolín - Stadion Litoměřice	5:2 ✺
25.01.23	Stadion Litoměřice - Pardubice B	5:6 penalties ✺
22.01.23	Frýdek-Místek - Stadion Litoměřice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Hokej Šumperk 2003
Czech Maxa Liga
01.02.23	Šumperk - Třebíč	3:2 OT ✺
30.01.23	Dukla Jihlava - Šumperk	5:0 ✺
28.01.23	Šumperk - Baník Sokolov	4:0 ✺
25.01.23	PSG Zlín - Šumperk	6:2 ✺
21.01.23	Šumperk - Vsetín	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
27.12.22	Šumperk - Stadion Litoměřice	6:3
05.11.22	Stadion Litoměřice - Šumperk	6:3
28.09.22	Šumperk - Stadion Litoměřice	4:1
12.02.22	Šumperk - Stadion Litoměřice	5:0
17.11.21	Stadion Litoměřice - Šumperk	5:3
22.09.21	Šumperk - Stadion Litoměřice	4:3 OT
13.01.21	Šumperk - Stadion Litoměřice	2:3 penalties

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