The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stavanger Oilers 33.9%
Draw 22%
Vålerenga 44.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.3%
21.7%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
23.3%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stavanger Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stavanger Oilers's performance.
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stavanger Oilers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stavanger Oilers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Stavanger Oilers - Vålerenga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Holm H. (G)
35. Volden L. (G)
5. Klavestad A.
55. Vainio J.
25. Watson C.
42. Koch G.
85. Karlsen C.
27. Westerholm Po.
16. Strandborg A. (A)
7. Westerholm Pa.
10. Hoff L. (A)
18. Modigs M.
Line 2
67. Fagerudd M.
21. Rokseth D.
51. Norstebo M.
94. Larsson H.
28. Pettersson L.
15. Jessli A.
29. Rensfeldt L.
22. Roymark M. (C)
8. Trettenes M. (C)
19. Finstad P.
Line 3
2. Hansen I.
8. Nilsen H.
4. Ostby K.
3. Gunnarsson K.
23. Christian Rodne L.
28. Karterud J.
19. Faret V.
46. Olimb M. (A)
65. Blomstrand L.
40. Olimb K. A.
Line 4
11. McCarthy C.
38. Maattanen M.
14. Kuraiev D.
33. Halmrast Johansen L.
18. Gran M.
78. Dalen P. (A)
76. Lokkeberg J.
9. Torrissen C.
78. Henriksen A. T.
Substitutes
31. Emond Z. (G)
32. Arnkvaern M. (G)
Coaches
. Kaunismaki J.
. Johansen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
12:29, Halmrast Johansen L. (2 min),
12:29, Ostby K. (2 min),
12:29, Halmrast Johansen L. (2 min),
17:15, Fagerudd M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:08, Ostby K. (2 min),
12:08, Ostby K. (2 min),
12:40, 0 - 1, Nilsen H. (G), Modigs M. (A), Westerholm Po. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:20, 0 - 2, Westerholm Po. (G),
02:14, 0 - 3, Torrissen C. (G),
03:48, McCarthy C. (2 min),
03:48, Norstebo M. (2 min),
05:28, 0 - 4, Vainio J. (G), Modigs M. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
14:28, Koch G. (2 min),
18:35, Olimb M. (2 min),
19:31, 1 - 4, Trettenes M. (G), Pettersson L. (A), Rensfeldt L. (A2)
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stavanger won 1.
In recent outings, Stavanger has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vålerenga shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Stavanger may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vålerenga holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stavanger has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:47 (averaging 3.3:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stavanger against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:22 goals (averaging 3.8:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Valerenga
11
10
0
0
1
53:16
30
5
Stavanger
12
5
0
1
6
32:38
16
Outrights of Norwegian Ligaen Hockey for now
Valerenga: 20.36% Stavanger: 10.6%
Last Results with these Odds
Vålerenga - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.98%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Norway
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Holm H. (G) 
Vainio J. 
Watson C. 
Westerholm Po. 
Kuraiev D. 
Emond Z. (G) 
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