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Current Win Probability
Stavanger Oilers 43.6%
Draw 23%
Vålerenga 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
23.3%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
23.9%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stavanger Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stavanger Oilers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Stavanger Oilers - Vålerenga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
70. McIntyre Z. (G)
32. Arnkvaern M. (G)
5. Klavestad A.
94. Larsson H. (A)
25. Watson C. (A)
6. Ekelund K.
85. Karlsen C.
10. Caamano N.
16. Strandborg A. (A)
22. Roymark M. (C)
26. Elvsveen P.
18. Modigs M.
Line 2
51. Norstebo M.
47. Danielsen A.
4. Ostby K.
42. Koch G.
29. Morrison C.
28. Karterud J.
8. Trettenes M. (C)
46. Olimb M. (A)
12. Yogan A.
40. Olimb K. A.
Line 3
44. Ellis B.
8. Nilsen H.
82. Meisingset J.
21. Rokseth D.
78. Henriksen A. T.
91. McLaughlin B.
76. Lokkeberg J.
33. Halmrast Johansen L.
19. Faret V.
81. Lasch R.
Line 4
55. Kosarev M.
13. Bjerke S.
27. Andrusiak Z.
17. Christiansen M.
72. Bliss T.
16. Henriksen M.
15. Ekeland N. K.
9. Torrissen C.
Substitutes
38. Holm H. (G)
30. Voutilainen J. (G)
Coaches
. Gjose A.
. Johansen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
16:28, Morrison C. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:37, Danielsen A. (2 min),
15:36, 0 - 1, Caamano N. (G), Modigs M. (A), Rokseth D. (A2)
17:01, Andrusiak Z. (2 min),
17:01, Andrusiak Z. (10 min),
17:01, Andrusiak Z. (Game Misconduct),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:29, Elvsveen P. (2 min),
05:07, 1 - 1, Faret V. (G), Strandborg A. (A), Karlsen C. (A2)
09:39, Olimb K. A. (2 min),
12:04, Danielsen A. (2 min),
15:17, (2 min),
17:30, Elvsveen P. (2 min),
18:40, Klavestad A. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:37, Norstebo M. (2 min),
01:22, 1 - 2, Olimb K. A. (G), Olimb M. (A), Halmrast Johansen L. (A2)
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
Stavanger is Qualified for EHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Vålerenga is Qualified for EHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stavanger won 3.
Recent performances by Stavanger have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vålerenga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stavanger won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 68:50. (average 3.4:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Stavanger won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 3.9:2.6).
Finland
Norway
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McIntyre Z. (G) 
Arnkvaern M. (G) 
Larsson H. (A) 
Caamano N. 
Kosarev M. 
Voutilainen J. (G) 
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