The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lillehammer 16.4%
Draw 18%
Stavanger Oilers 65.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19%
16.1%
64.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
18.4%
59.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillehammer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Stavanger Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillehammer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stavanger Oilers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stavanger Oilers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lillehammer - Stavanger Oilers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Halonen N. (G)
38. Holm H. (G)
47. Sevanen R.
5. Klavestad A.
39. Juusola V.
25. Watson C.
19. Fredriksen V.
85. Karlsen C.
98. Leibnitz J.
16. Strandborg A. (A)
21. Ellingsen M. (C)
10. Hoff L. (A)
Line 2
15. Soudsky R. A.
67. Fagerudd M.
12. Ondrcka L.
51. Norstebo M.
28. Langland O.
28. Pettersson L.
57. Hartikainen S.
29. Rensfeldt L.
16. Ellingsen A.
8. Trettenes M. (C)
Line 3
13. Kristiansen M.
2. Hansen I.
8. Nilsson D.
4. Ostby K.
41. Genlid E. K.
23. Christian Rodne L.
77. Olsen M.
19. Faret V.
23. Skarpjordet P.
65. Blomstrand L.
Line 4
10. Strand M.
11. McCarthy C.
65. Slette E.
18. Gran M.
14. Evjen N.
76. Lokkeberg J.
78. Henriksen A. T.
Substitutes
31. Morck A. (G)
31. Emond Z. (G)
Coaches
. Martikainen S.
. Kaunismaki J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
12:22, 1 - 0, Nilsson D. (G), Olsen M. (A),
15:09, 1 - 1, Fagerudd M. (G), Hoff L. (A), Norstebo M. (A2)
15:45, Genlid E. K. (2 min),
17:27, 1 - 2, Pettersson L. (G), Fagerudd M. (A), Trettenes M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
03:17, 1 - 3, McCarthy C. (G), Pettersson L. (A), Karlsen C. (A2)
07:42, 1 - 4, Trettenes M. (G),
08:19, 1 - 5, Rensfeldt L. (G), Trettenes M. (A), Pettersson L. (A2)
10:11, Evjen N. (2 min),
10:44, 1 - 6, Karlsen C. (G), Christian Rodne L. (A), Strandborg A. (A2)
13:08, Juusola V. (2 min),
13:08, Lokkeberg J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
07:27, Ondrcka L. (2 min),
13:37, Ellingsen M. (2 min),
16:51, Ostby K. (2 min),
18:08, Soudsky R. A. (2 min),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 8th in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillehammer won 1.
Lillehammer is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Stavanger has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Stavanger is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lillehammer has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 18 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:86 (averaging 1.6:4.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lillehammer against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 21:49 goals (averaging 1.9:4.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Stavanger
12
5
0
1
6
32:38
16
9
Lillehammer
11
2
0
1
8
23:45
4
Outrights of Norwegian Ligaen Hockey for now
Stavanger: 10.6% Lillehammer: 0.69%
Last Results with these Odds
Lillehammer - the odds 4.75 are the expected chance of winning is 19.05%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Stavanger Oilers - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.