Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday


	Stonehill Skyhawks		Merrimack Warriors

	1	X	2
	3.45	4.6	1.68
	3.55	4.2	1.73
	3.4	4.4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	4.4 ↓ (4.6)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stonehill Skyhawks
26%

Draw
20.5%

Merrimack Warriors
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

19.7%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

21.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stonehill Skyhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stonehill Skyhawks than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Stonehill Skyhawks - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 4)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
3rd Period (3 - 3)

Preview

Stonehill is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Merrimack has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stonehill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stonehill has had a series of away games.

In this match, Merrimack is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stonehill won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Merrimack Warriors: 1.66% Stonehill: 0.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stonehill Skyhawks hockey
NCAA Hockey
31.01.26	Vermont Catamounts - Stonehill Skyhawks	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Vermont Catamounts - Stonehill Skyhawks	3:2 OT ✺
24.01.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Brown Bears	3:2 OT ✺
17.01.26	Lindenwood Lions - Stonehill Skyhawks	5:1 ✺
16.01.26	Lindenwood Lions - Stonehill Skyhawks	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
31.01.26	New Hampshire Wildcats - Merrimack Warriors	4:3 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - New Hampshire Wildcats	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Northeastern Huskies	3:1 ✺
22.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Northeastern Huskies	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Merrimack Warriors	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
31.12.23	Merrimack Warriors - Stonehill Skyhawks	3:2

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