Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Avicii Arena (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	RDS 2, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Kutonen, MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Magenta Sport
Hungary	Sport 2
Latvia	LTV 7
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Igra
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	NHL Network


	Sweden		USA

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.75	3.75	Watch
	1.75	4.5	3.8
	1.78	4.6	3.75
	1.76	4.72	3.61
	1.8	4.58	3.61	Watch
	1.67	4.5	3.6
	1.85	4.47	3.53	Watch
	1.78	4.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	4.59 ↑ (4.35)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden
53.7%

Draw
20.6%

USA
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

21.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

20%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Sweden - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). USA will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sweden will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
25. Markstrom J. (G) New Jersey Devils	1. Swayman J. (G) Boston Bruins
8. Brodin J. Minnesota Wild	2. LaCombe J. Anaheim Ducks
38. Sandin R. Washington Capitals	8. Werenski Z. (A) Columbus Blue Jackets
88. Nylander W. Toronto Maple Leafs	83. Garland C. Vancouver Canucks
71. Karlsson W. Vegas Golden Knights	92. Cooley L. Utah Mammoth
23. Raymond L. Detroit Red Wings	9. Keller C. (C) Utah Mammoth
Line 2
4. Andersson R. (C) Calgary Flames	20. Peeke A. Boston Bruins
77. Edvinsson S. Detroit Red Wings	76. Skjei B. Nashville Predators
28. Lindholm E. Boston Bruins	91. Nazar F. Chicago Blackhawks
11. Backlund M. (A) Calgary Flames	10. Beniers M. Seattle Kraken
9. Forsberg F. Nashville Predators	72. Thompson T. (A) Buffalo Sabres
Line 3
6. Larsson A. Seattle Kraken	7. Kesselring M. Utah Mammoth
29. Pettersson M. Vancouver Canucks	73. Vlasic A. Chicago Blackhawks
93. Zibanejad M. (A) New York Rangers	43. Smith W. San Jose Sharks
91. Carlsson L. Anaheim Ducks	12. Pinto S. Ottawa Senators
90. Johansson M. Minnesota Wild	19. Gauthier C. Anaheim Ducks
Line 4
56. Gustafsson E. Detroit Red Wings	28. Buium Z. Denver Pioneers
10. Wennberg A. San Jose Sharks	18. O'Connor D. Vancouver Canucks
37. Lundestrom I. Anaheim Ducks	47. McCarron M. Nashville Predators
51. Heineman E. Montreal Canadiens	23. Eyssimont M. Seattle Kraken
Substitutes
33. Ersson S. (G) Philadelphia Flyers	35. Daccord J. (G) Seattle Kraken
82. Froden J. Zurich	81. Doan J. Utah Mammoth
Coaches
. Hallam S.	. Warsofsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
00:27, Nylander W. (2 min),
06:52, 0 - 1, Skjei B. (G), Pinto S. (A),
11:24, McCarron M. (2 min),
17:13, 0 - 2, Gauthier C. (G), Pinto S. (A), Smith W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:36, Garland C. (2 min),
11:07, 0 - 3, Garland C. (G), Cooley L. (A), Skjei B. (A2)
17:03, 0 - 4, Eyssimont M. (G), Beniers M. (A), LaCombe J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
00:01, Markstrom J. ↓, Ersson S. ↑,
06:32, 1 - 4, Nylander W. (G), Andersson R. (A), Karlsson W. (A2)
07:13, 2 - 4, Lindholm E. (G), Wennberg A. (A),
11:09, 2 - 5, LaCombe J. (G), Nazar F. (A),
15:53, 2 - 6, Pinto S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 3.

Sweden is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

USA is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sweden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sweden is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sweden: Eklund W. (Wrist Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden hockey
IIHF World Championship
22.05.25	Sweden - Czech Republic	5:2 ✺
20.05.25	Sweden - Canada	3:5 ✺
17.05.25	France - Sweden	0:4 ✺
16.05.25	Sweden - Slovenia	4:0 ✺
14.05.25	Latvia - Sweden	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- USA hockey
IIHF World Championship
22.05.25	USA - Finland	5:2 ✺
20.05.25	Czech Republic - USA	2:5 ✺
18.05.25	Kazakhstan - USA	1:6 ✺
17.05.25	USA - Germany	6:3 ✺
14.05.25	USA - Norway	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL 4 Nations Face Off
17.02.25	USA - Sweden	1:2
IIHF World Championship
10.05.24	Sweden - USA	5:2
23.05.23	Sweden - USA	3:4 OT
21.05.22	USA - Sweden	3:2 OT
19.05.18	Sweden - USA	6:0
08.05.17	USA - Sweden	4:3
Friendly International Ice Hockey
01.05.12	Sweden - USA	N/A

Sweden - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide