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Current Win Probability
Swift Current Broncos 35.7%
Draw 22%
Lethbridge Hurricanes 42.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.8%
19.7%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
20%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swift Current Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swift Current Broncos's performance.
Lethbridge Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lethbridge Hurricanes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Current Broncos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swift Current Broncos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lethbridge Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lethbridge Hurricanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cooke A. (G)
30. Cleaver K. (G)
25. Brown B.
4. Adair C.
29. Darby H. (C)
17. Anderson K.
32. Dingman S.
29. Berge O.
39. Gauchier J.
11. Cozens L. (A)
4. Gillespie J.
16. Daneault E.
6. Gray N.
9. Duell K.
3. Hocher B.
22. Kibblewhite H.
13. Kosick N.
12. Lafournaise T.
44. Laplante E.
2. Leonard F.
7. McFaul J.
27. Lesiuk G.
5. McGregor J. (A)
15. Longley K.
12. Moen C.
24. Malinek T.
26. Oleskiw J.
8. Maloney N.
34. Pantelakis Z.
25. McFadden L.
24. Potter C.
26. Petruk A.
17. Rondeau P.
5. Pichette G.
41. Sexsmith A.
3. Scott W.
19. Wilke T.
21. Skadauskas M.
42. Wilson A. (A)
Substitutes
70. Eskit A. (G)
31. Oaten L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
11:01, 1 - 0, Brown B. (G), McGregor J. (A), Oleskiw J. (A2)
12:41, 2 - 0, Pantelakis Z. (G), Kosick N. (A), Wilson A. (A2)
13:45, 3 - 0, Rondeau P. (G), Darby H. (A), Moen C. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 3)
02:43, 3 - 1, Petruk A. (G), Berge O. (A), Scott W. (A2)
03:28, 4 - 1, Dingman S. (G), Gauchier J. (A), McGregor J. (A2)
10:39, 5 - 1, Gauchier J. (G), Dingman S. (A), Wilke T. (A2)
13:40, 5 - 2, Maloney N. (G), Longley K. (A), Berge O. (A2)
14:02, 5 - 3, Kibblewhite H. (G), Cozens L. (A), Duell K. (A2)
17:29, 6 - 3, Darby H. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:51, 6 - 4, Anderson K. (G),
13:42, 7 - 4, Oleskiw J. (G), Dingman S. (A),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Current won 2.
Swift Current is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lethbridge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Lethbridge has had a series of home games.
Lethbridge might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swift Current won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 70:63. (average 3.5:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Swift Current won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 3.6:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Lethbridge Hurricanes - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cooke A. (G) 
Gillespie J. 
Malinek T. 
Skadauskas M. 
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