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Current Win Probability
Swift Current Broncos 39.4%
Draw 20.6%
Moose Jaw Warriors 40%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
21.2%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
21.5%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swift Current Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Current Broncos than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Swift Current Broncos - Moose Jaw Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Conway C. (G)
41. Switzer J. (G)
2. Alain C.
55. Andresen K.
24. Beaulieu J.
19. Brown C. (A)
6. Davidson H.
8. Carter C.
32. Dingman S.
21. Darby G.
36. Farushev S.
12. Degagne W.
23. Huska L.
16. Degenstein N.
16. Kibblewhite H.
11. Kamarainen R.
37. Kowalchuk H.
22. Lajoie M.
7. McFaul J.
7. McFadden L.
13. Meunier T.
34. Moroz L. (A)
12. Moen C.
36. Nagel G.
34. Pantelakis Z.
2. Ness B. (C)
17. Rondeau P.
4. Paquette N.
15. Rudolph B.
39. Petersen C.
14. Ruedig K.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
25. Torkki O.
38. Thorpe R.
77. Vlasenko Y.
43. Trefny J.
19. Wilke T.
3. Williams C.
Substitutes
30. Cooke A. (G)
1. Mingo D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:27, 0 - 1, McFadden L. (G), Andresen K. (A),
15:24, 1 - 1, Beaulieu J. (G), Torkki O. (A),
15:33, 2 - 1, Pantelakis Z. (G), Ruedig K. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:25, 3 - 1, Kowalchuk H. (G), Rondeau P. (A), Vlasenko Y. (A2)
14:03, 3 - 2, Trefny J. (G), Paquette N. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
13:50, 4 - 2, McFaul J. (G), Pantelakis Z. (A), Torkki O. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Current won 2.
Swift Current has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Moose Jaw is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Moose Jaw has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Swift Current in today's match, at odds of 2.53.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Swift Current has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:72 (averaging 3.1:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Swift Current against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:32 goals (averaging 3.3:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Swift Current Broncos - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.