Match Info

SWEDEN: HOCKEYALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 45

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday


	Södertälje		Västervik

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	7
	1.36	5.25	6.5
	1.34	5.86	7.5	Watch
	1.25	5.4	8
	1.28	6.39	8.66
	1.3	5.5	6.5
	1.29	6	7.55	Watch
	1.35	5.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	5.69 ↓ (6)	7.26 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Södertälje
70.9%

Draw
16.3%

Västervik
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

15.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

15.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Södertälje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Västervik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västervik than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Södertälje - Västervik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Södertälje won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Södertälje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Södertälje is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Södertälje to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 45 head-to-head matches Södertälje won 21 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 24 matches and goals 105-125.

Including matches at home between the teams Södertälje won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 67-56.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
14.02.24	Brynäs - Södertälje	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Kalmar - Södertälje	3:1 ✺
09.02.24	Södertälje - AIK	4:2 ✺
07.02.24	BIK Karlskoga - Södertälje	2:3 OT ✺
03.02.24	Södertälje - Västerås	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Västerviks IK Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
14.02.24	Västervik - AIK	0:3 ✺
09.02.24	Västervik - Västerås	4:1 ✺
07.02.24	Tingsryd - Västervik	4:3 ✺
05.02.24	Västervik - Nybro Vikings	4:3 ✺
02.02.24	AIK - Västervik	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
12.01.24	Västervik - Södertälje	2:3
15.11.23	Södertälje - Västervik	4:1
20.10.23	Västervik - Södertälje	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.09.23	Södertälje - Västervik	3:0
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
03.03.23	Västervik - Södertälje	1:4
01.02.23	Södertälje - Västervik	4:2
29.12.22	Södertälje - Västervik	4:1

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