The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TKH Toruń 62.6%
Draw 18.4%
ComArch Cracovia 18.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.1%
16.3%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
15.9%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TKH Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TKH Toruń's form might have worsened.
ComArch Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TKH Toruń than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ComArch Cracovia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
TKH Toruń - ComArch Cracovia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Kalmykov R. (G)
32. Lipiainen S. (G)
4. Zielinski M.
77. Laitinen V.
28. Ossipov R.
8. Wajda P.
91. Deniskin A.
76. Airo J.
89. Syty N.
23. Berzins D.
34. Kolesnikov V.
95. Kapica D.
Line 2
33. Schafer E.
86. Gorsanovs D.
29. Tapio M.
88. Michalski J.
39. Niemi E.
13. Dawid B.
17. Arrak R.
25. Montgomery S.
8. Peltola S.
81. Bezwinski M.
Line 3
45. Wilczok W.
98. Shkrabov A.
11. Jaworski A.
5. Metel K.
14. Hanzawa C.
39. Toussaint A.
88. Napiorkowski P.
38. Ubowski M.
86. Larionovs D.
97. Guminski S.
Line 4
20. Cybulski M.
15. Konarski J.
94. Giminski J.
24. Jaskiewicz O.
10. Kalinowski K.
9. Kapa D.
19. Kalinowski M.
21. Mocarski K.
12. Smal I.
11. Kot R.
Substitutes
51. Studzinski M. (G)
72. Klimowski S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
10:59, 1 - 0, Kolesnikov V. (G), Deniskin A. (A), Syty N. (A2)
16:16, 2 - 0, Niemi E. (G), Arrak R. (A), Peltola S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12', 2 - 1, Airo J. (G), Berzins D. (A),
3rd Period (5 - 0)
00:55, 3 - 1, Schafer E. (G), Syty N. (A), Deniskin A. (A2)
04:24, 4 - 1, Niemi E. (G), Peltola S. (A),
07:28, 5 - 1, Smal I. (G), Larionovs D. (A),
09:24, 6 - 1, Arrak R. (G), Niemi E. (A),
10:20, 7 - 1, Larionovs D. (G), Wilczok W. (A), Jaworski A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 3.
Toruń has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cracovia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Toruń for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toruń has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:58 (averaging 2.9:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toruń against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:22 goals (averaging 3.9:2.8 per game).
Poland
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Kalmykov R. (G) 
Lipiainen S. (G) 
Zielinski M. 
Ossipov R. 
Deniskin A. 
Berzins D. 
Montgomery S. 
Shkrabov A. 
Hanzawa C. 
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