Match Info

Polish Hockey League - Round 45

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polski Hokej TV


	TKH Toruń		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.2	1.69	Watch
	3.66	4.44	1.7	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.67
	3.65	4.25	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.25)	4.27 ↓ (4.3)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TKH Toruń
25.3%

Draw
21.2%

GKS Tychy
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

21.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

24.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TKH Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TKH Toruń than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TKH Toruń, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Tychy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TKH Toruń - GKS Tychy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
51. Studzinski M. (G)	70. Vitols E. (G)
77. Laitinen V.	2. Kakkonen V.
13. Ilvessuo J.	4. Kaskinen O.
91. Deniskin A.	27. Jamsen J.
89. Syty N.	14. Pas D.
22. Bashirov R.	88. Lyszczarczyk A.
Line 2
33. Schafer E.	67. Pociecha B.
11. Jaworski A.	20. Kovar L.
38. Vorona O.	91. Jeziorski B.
17. Arrak R.	87. Kucharski S.
95. Korenchuk I.	86. Kerkkanen J.
Line 3
7. Kulintsev D.	6. Walli J.
4. Zielinski M.	39. Viinikainen O.
88. Napiorkowski P.	84. Knuutinen H.
9. Fjodorovs D.	5. Komorski F.
20. Cybulski M.	34. Viitanen M.
Line 4
94. Giminski J.	22. Drabik R.
19. Kalinowski M.	16. Sobecki K.
10. Kalinowski K.	29. Janik J.
12. Phelps Ch.	92. Aliranta V.
	11. Goscinski M.
Substitutes
98. Mackowski S.	33. Fucik T. (G)
28. Svensson A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
09:36, 0 - 1, Jamsen J. (G), Knuutinen H. (A), Kerkkanen J. (A2)
10:15, 1 - 1, Ilvessuo J. (G), Syty N. (A), Deniskin A. (A2)
12:11, 1 - 2, Jeziorski B. (G), Pociecha B. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:25, 1 - 3, Kakkonen V. (G), Aliranta V. (A), Kerkkanen J. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 2)
06:14, 1 - 4, Goscinski M. (G), Kakkonen V. (A), Kaskinen O. (A2)
06:14, 1 - 5, Viitanen M. (G), Pas D. (A), Komorski F. (A2)
08:46, 2 - 5, Deniskin A. (G), Ilvessuo J. (A), Laitinen V. (A2)
10:04, 3 - 5, Deniskin A. (G), Syty N. (A), Kalinowski K. (A2)
11:13, 4 - 5, Arrak R. (G), Vorona O. (A), Kulintsev D. (A2)
18:21, 5 - 5, Kalinowski K. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:21, 5 - 6, Kakkonen V. (G), Pas D. (A),

Preview

Toruń is Qualified for Polish Hockey League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

GKS Tychy is Qualified for Polish Hockey League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toruń may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, GKS Tychy is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 38:68. (average 1.9:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Toruń won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.1:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Torun	8	6	0	0	2	32:21	18
4	Tychy	8	5	0	0	3	31:17	15

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Tychy - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.74%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TKH Toruń
Polska Liga Hokejowa
20.02.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - TKH Toruń	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	TKH Toruń - GKS Katowice	0:4 ✺
13.02.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - TKH Toruń	6:1 ✺
30.01.26	ComArch Cracovia - TKH Toruń	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	TKH Toruń - Polonia Bytom	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLLW
- GKS Tychy Hockey
Polska Liga Hokejowa
20.02.26	GKS Tychy - GKS Jastrzębie	2:3 penalties ✺
13.02.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - GKS Tychy	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	4:5 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	GKS Tychy - KH Sanok	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polska Liga Hokejowa
04.01.26	GKS Tychy - TKH Toruń	3:0
28.11.25	TKH Toruń - GKS Tychy	2:3 OT
21.10.25	GKS Tychy - TKH Toruń	2:0
23.09.25	TKH Toruń - GKS Tychy	3:5
12.02.25	TKH Toruń - GKS Tychy	1:2 OT
03.01.25	GKS Tychy - TKH Toruń	2:3 OT
26.11.24	TKH Toruń - GKS Tychy	4:3 OT

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