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Current Win Probability
UKH Unia Oświęcim 31.8%
Draw 21.4%
GKS Tychy 46.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
22%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
23.1%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UKH Unia Oświęcim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UKH Unia Oświęcim's form might have worsened.
GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Tychy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UKH Unia Oświęcim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Tychy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UKH Unia Oświęcim - GKS Tychy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Tyczynski I. (G)
33. Fucik T. (G)
66. Valtola K.
67. Pociecha B.
5. Florczak B.
20. Kovar L.
43. Nieminen O.
61. Viitala L.
29. Marenis R.
14. Pas D.
91. Wilkins M.
88. Lyszczarczyk A.
Line 2
77. Ventela S.
2. Kakkonen V.
93. Makela A.
4. Kaskinen O.
88. Jokinen J.
27. Jamsen J.
13. Ronkkonen J.
5. Komorski F.
34. Immonen S.
11. Goscinski M.
Line 3
9. Dyukov R.
69. Bryk M.
4. Matthews L.
39. Viinikainen O.
16. Soltys J.
91. Jeziorski B.
44. Krzemien L.
28. Kielbicki S.
26. Lewandowski J.
34. Viitanen M.
Line 4
40. Moscicki M.
16. Sobecki K.
6. Staniecko M.
3. Sertti L.
79. Kusak M.
29. Janik J.
95. Nahunko D.
87. Kucharski S.
53. Platacz P.
10. Bagienko A.
Substitutes
70. Kusak J. (G)
24. Chabior S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:27, 1 - 0, Jokinen J. (G), Marenis R. (A), Wilkins M. (A2)
14:54, 1 - 1, Kakkonen V. (G), Pas D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:39, 1 - 2, Lyszczarczyk A. (G), Viitala L. (A), Pas D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia won 4.
In recent outings, Unia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
GKS Tychy is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
GKS Tychy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unia has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:48 (averaging 3:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unia against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 35:24 goals (averaging 3.2:2.2 per game).