Match Info

SHL

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: SCA Arena (Timra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Hockey, TV4 Play


	Timrå		Rögle

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.2	2.8	Watch
	2.39	3.98	2.61
	2.67	4.14	2.24	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.5
	2.44	3.94	2.48	Watch
	2.35	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)	4 ↑ (3.6)	2.54 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timrå
39.3%

Draw
23.6%

Rögle
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timrå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timrå than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Timrå - Rögle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Timrå will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rögle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rögle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Juel T. (G)	75. Holm A. (G)
38. Sundin A.	6. LaDue P.
7. Hardegard M.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
94. Hartmann S.	18. Everberg D. (A)
51. Lander A. (C)	28. Bengtsson A. (C)
91. Paajarvi M.	72. Zaar D.
Line 2
28. Forsmark S.	58. Johansson F.
2. Svensson P.	44. de Haan C.
32. Lundmark A.	52. Nilsson F.
14. Pettersson E.	22. Olofsson F.
54. Dahlen J. (A)	62. Horky L.
Line 3
16. Pilo L.	17. Norlin I.
9. Stromberg D. (A)	45. Biber G.
26. Heikkinen A.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
27. Levinsson L.	83. Kuhlman K.
10. Lilja D.	8. Sandin L.
Line 4
25. Nassen L.	27. Sjodin L.
72. Walterholm E.	23. Dickinson J.
19. Westfalt M.	37. Sundsvik A.
15. Darth O.
Substitutes
22. Annerstedt E.	65. Rifalk C. (G)
30. Johansson J. (G)	41. Zether S.
Coaches
. Samuelsson T.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:02, Nilsson F. (2 min),
11:15, 1 - 0, Dahlen J. (G), Forsmark S. (A), Svensson P. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
10:25, Nilsson F. (2 min),
15:24, 2 - 0, Heikkinen A. (G), Lilja D. (A),
18:25, Zaar D. (2 min),
19:40, 3 - 0, Lander A. (G), Forsmark S. (A), Dahlen J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
13:09, Stromberg D. (2 min),
14:31, 3 - 1, Zaar D. (G), Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (A), Bristedt L. (A2)
18:41, 4 - 1, Dahlen J. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Timrå won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Timrå has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Timrå won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:51. (average 2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Timrå won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2.2:2.2).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.28% Timra: 1.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
14	Timra	7	1	1	0	5	12:20	5

Last Results with these Odds

Timrå - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timrå IK
SHL
06.01.26	Timrå - Örebro	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Timrå - Djurgården	2:3 OT ✺
30.12.25	Timrå - Leksand	5:4 OT ✺
28.12.25	Luleå - Timrå	5:1 ✺
26.12.25	Timrå - Brynäs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW
- Rögle BK
SHL
06.01.26	Djurgården - Rögle	2:4 ✺
03.01.26	Örebro - Rögle	3:4 ✺
30.12.25	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:2 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Rögle - HV71	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
04.12.25	Rögle - Timrå	2:1 penalties
30.09.25	Timrå - Rögle	1:2 OT
13.02.25	Rögle - Timrå	1:4
28.01.25	Timrå - Rögle	0:2
21.11.24	Rögle - Timrå	2:4
28.09.24	Timrå - Rögle	4:0
16.03.24	Timrå - Rögle	2:3

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