Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Toros Neftekamsk		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.57	2.53
	2.09	3.45	2.45
	1.99	3.94	3.22	Watch
	1.99	3.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)	3.69 ↓ (3.85)	2.78 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
43.5%

Draw
24.3%

Kaluga
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

24.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Toros Neftekamsk - Kaluga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Yelin I. (G)	48. Kuznetsov G. (G)
85. Budnitsky V.	44. Gaitamirov T. (C)
96. Gazimov I.	89. Denisevich B.
23. Sidlyarov D. (A)	17. Zakharov I.
22. Sedantsov O.	19. Litvinov I. (A)
44. Khvorov N.	43. Voronkov P. (A)
Line 2
49. Gurkin Y. (C)	27. Maltsev A.
9. Orlov V.	58. Veryovkin M.
28. Akhsyanov B.	86. Mitrofanov A.
25. Valeyev T. (A)	24. Pavlyukov I.
94. Petrenko D.	85. Talaluyev I.
Line 3
48. Khafzetdinov A.	18. Kolomiytsev I.
19. Zhikharev N.	6. Karimov T.
97. Babenko M.	95. Almazov N.
71. Volokitin P.	74. Yusupov V.
88. Kolesnikov S.	51. Smirnov N.
Line 4
36. Gunkin Y.	25. Ipatov M.
24. Yelsukov F.	55. Berezin M.
7. Skoropad N.	11. Meshkantsov Z.
10. Filyayev V.	12. Sorokin D.
17. Tkach D.	13. Meshkantsov N.
Substitutes
31. Bai Y. (G)	30. Kokaulin S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:29, 0 - 1, Veryovkin M. (G), Mitrofanov A. (A), Talaluyev I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Toros has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kaluga has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kaluga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Toros holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Toros in today's match, at odds of 1.96.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Kaluga	12	7	1	2	2	28:17	18
13	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
03.10.26	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	0:3 ✺
01.10.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Ryazan	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
21.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
19.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Toros Neftekamsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWW
- HK Kaluga
VHL
03.10.26	Izhstal - Kaluga	1:3 ✺
01.10.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Kaluga	2:3 OT ✺
27.09.26	Kaluga - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	Kaluga - Dizel Penza	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.09.26	Bryansk - Kaluga	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL

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