Match Info

VHL

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Toros Neftekamsk		AKM

	1	X	2
	3.59	3.65	1.7
	3	3.4	1.84
	3.13	4.14	1.97	Watch
	3.45	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.46)	3.8 ↓ (3.92)	1.83 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
27.3%

Draw
23.6%

AKM
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

23.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.

AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AKM's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AKM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toros Neftekamsk - AKM Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Bai Y. (G)	40. Korzin Y. (G)
85. Budnitsky V.	86. Faizullin A.
76. Pykhtin D.	17. Trishin A. (C)
23. Sidlyarov D. (A)	11. Rakhimullin D.
22. Sedantsov O.	38. Shipov I.
44. Khvorov N.	61. Gorshkov A.
Line 2
49. Gurkin Y. (C)	52. Motygullin B.
36. Gunkin Y.	3. Morozov Y.
28. Akhsyanov B.	29. Kaburov G.
25. Valeyev T. (A)	9. Sato Y.
94. Petrenko D.	15. Yermakov Y.
Line 3
48. Khafzetdinov A.	69. Pautov Y.
19. Zhikharev N.	28. Bulygin D.
59. Korbit P.	24. Bryukvin V.
71. Volokitin P.	47. Skutin Y.
88. Kolesnikov S.	7. Khanin M.
Line 4
9. Orlov V.	25. Kramarenko Y.
24. Yelsukov F.	55. Suvorov A.
77. Faizov A.	21. Kodola V.
10. Filyayev V.	95. Seliverstov A.
17. Tkach D.
Substitutes
1. Yelin I. (G)	65. Anuchin N.
	60. Kanarsky I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:47, 0 - 1, Skutin Y. (G), Suvorov A. (A), Kodola V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:35, 0 - 2, Gorshkov A. (G), Rakhimullin D. (A), Shipov I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:28, 0 - 3, Sato Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 2.

Toros has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

AKM has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

AKM may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Toros has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:44 (averaging 1.8:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toros against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.9:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
12	Toros Neftekamsk	11	6	0	2	3	27:24	14

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

AKM - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
01.10.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Ryazan	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
21.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
19.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Toros Neftekamsk	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Khimik	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWL
- AKM Tula
VHL
01.10.26	Izhstal - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
29.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
25.09.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	7:2 ✺
23.09.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	5:2 ✺
19.09.26	AKM - Tambov	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.02.26	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0
26.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	3:2
17.02.25	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	1:0 OT
04.10.24	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2
02.03.24	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3
28.02.24	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	0:1
27.02.24	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	6:2

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