Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk)


	Toros Neftekamsk		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.18	2.47
	2.3	3.05	2.35
	2.42	3.82	2.52	Watch
	2.31	3.65	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.84)	3.43 ↓ (3.8)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
37.8%

Draw
26%

SKA-VMF
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

25%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-VMF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Toros Neftekamsk - SKA VMF Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. SKA-VMF will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA-VMF (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Bogdanov N. (G)	87. Popov D. (G)
85. Budnitsky V.	8. Barantsev D. (A)
76. Pykhtin D.	85. Zhuravlev Y.
23. Sidlyarov D. (A)	72. Kazakov M.
25. Valeyev T. (A)	15. Busarov G. (C)
14. Chyorny A.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
49. Gurkin Y. (C)	14. Shekhovtsov Y.
36. Gunkin Y.	81. Varlakov A.
59. Korbit P.	38. Gurzanov Y.
10. Filyayev V.	17. Kabush M.
28. Akhsyanov B.	22. Sorokin Y.
Line 3
48. Khafzetdinov A.	5. Yarullin A.
9. Orlov G.	6. Lukichyov A.
88. Kolesnikov S.	47. Nedopyokin N.
71. Volokitin P.	32. Barabanov V.
94. Petrenko D.	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 4
93. Gimbatov R.	54. Gorokhov S.
46. Yelsukov F.	39. Kuzminov Y.
7. Skoropad N.	95. Shevchenko D. (A)
22. Sedantsov O.	97. Nugmanov A.
17. Tkach D.
Substitutes
1. Yelin I. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
	18. Slivchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
05:12, 1 - 0, Yelsukov F. (G), Kolesnikov S. (A), Volokitin P. (A2)
06:03, 2 - 0, Tkach D. (G), Budnitsky V. (A), Sidlyarov D. (A2)
07:59, 2 - 1, Barantsev D. (G), Busarov G. (A),
13:08, 3 - 1, Sidlyarov D. (G), Sedantsov O. (A), Gunkin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:44, 3 - 2, Shevchenko D. (G), Nedopyokin N. (A), Varlakov A. (A2)
12:17, 4 - 2, Skoropad N. (G), Sedantsov O. (A), Tkach D. (A2)
17:21, 4 - 3, Busarov G. (G), Zhuravlev Y. (A), Popov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:51, 5 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 2.

Recent form of Toros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SKA-VMF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Toros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 55:65. (average 2.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 3.3:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Toros Neftekamsk	11	6	0	2	3	27:24	14
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
03.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3 ✺
27.08.26	Omskie Krylia - Toros Neftekamsk	2:1 OT ✺
26.08.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK	6:3 ✺
24.08.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
05.09.26	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	2:3 penalties ✺
03.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - SKA-VMF	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - SKA-VMF	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - SKA-VMF	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	SKA-VMF - Barys Astana	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.01.26	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2
23.10.25	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT
18.03.25	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1
07.09.24	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	2:4
29.11.23	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	5:2
19.11.23	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	6:2
11.01.23	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	2:3

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