Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk)


	Toros Neftekamsk		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.58	3.26
	1.75	3.45	3.15
	1.85	4.1	3.55	Watch
	1.77	3.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)	3.76 ↓ (4.05)	3.35 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
49.7%

Draw
23.7%

Zvezda Moscow
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

23.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

23.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+3%)

Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Bai Y. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
85. Budnitsky V.	73. Rusakov A.
96. Gazimov I.	3. Sidorov M.
23. Sidlyarov D. (A)	97. Churkin A.
25. Valeyev T. (A)	69. Maistrenko O.
14. Chyorny A.	87. Yapparov Y.
Line 2
49. Gurkin Y. (C)	23. Grushnikov A.
36. Gunkin Y.	15. Alexandrov D. (C)
79. Nabiev A.	19. Prokhorov A.
22. Sedantsov O.	74. Frolov N.
17. Tkach D.	56. Vlasenko D. (A)
Line 3
48. Khafzetdinov A.	86. Gubanov A.
9. Orlov G.	7. Malyshev A. (A)
59. Korbit P.	53. Matveiko Y.
28. Akhsyanov B.	98. Pankratov S.
77. Faizov A.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 4
46. Yelsukov F.	32. Kashayev E.
88. Kolesnikov S.	37. Mikhailov N.
71. Volokitin P.	75. Averochkin M.
94. Petrenko D.	84. Lagoda G.
Substitutes
93. Gimbatov R.	81. Kloberdanets M. (G)
1. Yelin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:54, 0 - 1, Frolov N. (G), Vlasenko D. (A), Lagoda G. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:31, 0 - 2, Prokhorov A. (G), Alexandrov D. (A),
16:57, 1 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
02:15, 2 - 2, Nabiev A. (G),
03:46, 3 - 2, Kolesnikov S. (G), Petrenko D. (A),
10:16, 4 - 2, Budnitsky V. (G), Sedantsov O. (A), Faizov A. (A2)
11:36, 4 - 3, Yapparov Y. (G), Churkin A. (A),
16:18, 4 - 4, Churkin A. (G), Yapparov Y. (A), Malyshev A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:20, 4 - 5, Malyshev A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 2.

In recent matches, Toros has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zvezda Moscow has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Toros will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:47. (average 2.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 2.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14
24	Zvezda Moscow	14	3	2	1	8	33:45	11

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 29.02%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
09.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	5:3 ✺
03.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3 ✺
27.08.26	Omskie Krylia - Toros Neftekamsk	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
09.09.26	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:2 ✺
03.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	0:3 ✺
25.08.26	Khimik - Zvezda Moscow	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties
07.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 penalties
12.03.25	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	6:0
03.09.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
13.12.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:1
31.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	2:3 penalties
13.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4

Upcoming Matches