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Current Win Probability
Tri-City Americans 20%
Draw 18.8%
Portland Winterhawks 61.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
19.2%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
20.5%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tri-City Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tri-City Americans's form might have worsened.
Portland Winterhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Winterhawks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tri-City Americans than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tri-City Americans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Winterhawks than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Winterhawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Wendt X. (G)
1. Stebetak O. (G)
71. Abougouche I.
28. Brown N. (A)
3. Adam J.
72. Brown R.
10. Bouchard A.
20. Christopherson L.
19. Bowes S.
22. Darby G.
4. Byrne D.
92. Domenichelli A.
12. Dale C.
9. Duguay J.
77. Elick C. (A)
17. Dyck C.
66. Garland G. (A)
86. Free N.
73. Krcal D.
27. Gustafson J.
20. Laing A.
8. Matthews C.
2. LeBret D.
18. McDonough K.
28. Martin G.
24. McLaughlin W.
6. McIsaac L.
23. Miller R. (C)
17. McKinnon J.
77. Psenicka M.
9. Pavao C.
12. Slobodian C. (A)
18. Peterson T.
7. Spehar S.
51. Sadovia R.
47. Tsakumis N.
25. Vanecek J.
88. Weiermair A. (A)
16. Virk S.
96. Wilfley L.
Substitutes
40. Gibson K.
32. Chase C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
05:48, 0 - 1, Brown N. (G), Weiermair A. (A), Free N. (A2)
17:00, 0 - 2, Wilfley L. (G), Duguay J. (A), Tsakumis N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:00, 1 - 2, Martin G. (G), Laing A. (A), Vanecek J. (A2)
11:04, 2 - 2, Vanecek J. (G), Virk S. (A), Martin G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
19:11, 3 - 2, Garland G. (G), Pavao C. (A), Elick C. (A2)
19:57, 3 - 3, Brown N. (G), Duguay J. (A), Psenicka M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:11, 3 - 4, Miller R. (G), Weiermair A. (A), Psenicka M. (A2)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tri-City won 2.
Tri-City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Portland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tri-City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tri-City has had a series of away games.
Portland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tri-City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 60:83. (average 3:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tri-City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 3.4:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Tri-City Americans - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.44%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Portland Winterhawks - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.31%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.