Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: SP Arena (Ljungby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Troja Ljungby		BIK Karlskoga

	1	X	2
	4.3	4.75	1.61
	5.39	5.09	1.48	Watch
	4.32	4.37	1.44
	5.18	4.86	1.49	Watch
	5.35	5.05	1.42	Watch
	4.75	5.25	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.29)	4.9 ↑ (4.36)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troja Ljungby
19%

Draw
18.9%

BIK Karlskoga
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

21.1%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

BIK Karlskoga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BIK Karlskoga than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BIK Karlskoga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Troja Ljungby - BIK Karlskoga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Stalberg J. (G)	1. Lindbom O. (G)
18. Hedberg T.	29. Nilsson N.
11. Bergmanis A.	91. Barkemo T.
8. Nilsson A.	14. Bjorklund H.
19. McShane A.	73. Eklind O.
96. Skager L.	17. Stakkestad A.
Line 2
16. Froland D.	5. Lundgren J.
57. Ehrnberg C.	9. Teravainen E.
20. Lennstrom F.	13. Plato H.
22. Salqvist I.	40. Jellvert K.
88. Hellstrom F.	44. Harju J.
Line 3
59. Wytinck Z.	4. Leandersson A.
43. Arvedson A.	90. Olsen R.
24. Olsson H.	10. Ljungkrantz A.
83. Wikstrom J.	27. Sjokvist T.
9. Warg L.	19. Edvardsen S. A.
Line 4
6. Ernstig C.	7. Engebraten S.
73. Gradin A.	20. Haugen C.
10. Kakela L.	15. Franzen G.
76. Jarbsjo M.	78. Viitala L.
Substitutes
82. Forsmark F.	39. Goos M. (G)
35. Holm V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:53, 0 - 1, Engebraten S. (G), Jellvert K. (A), Plato H. (A2)
08:35, 1 - 1, Froland D. (G), Arvedson A. (A), Nilsson A. (A2)
09:33, 1 - 2, Jellvert K. (G), Plato H. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 1.

Recent performances by Troja Ljungby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karlskoga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Karlskoga is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 35:53. (average 2.1:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Troja Ljungby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 2.1:2.6).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

BIK Karlskoga: 6.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	BIK Karlskoga	9	3	0	2	4	23:31	11

Last Results with these Odds

BIK Karlskoga - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.38%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
28.01.26	Almtuna IS - Troja Ljungby	5:2 ✺
23.01.26	Troja Ljungby - Oskarshamn	2:5 ✺
21.01.26	Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS	0:6 ✺
16.01.26	Troja Ljungby - Modo	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Nybro Vikings - Troja Ljungby	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLLWW
- BIK Karlskoga
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
28.01.26	BIK Karlskoga - Östersund	4:2 ✺
23.01.26	Kalmar - BIK Karlskoga	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	BIK Karlskoga - Björklöven	1:4 ✺
16.01.26	BIK Karlskoga - Nybro Vikings	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Västerås - BIK Karlskoga	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
10.01.26	BIK Karlskoga - Troja Ljungby	1:2
19.12.25	Troja Ljungby - BIK Karlskoga	1:2
28.09.25	BIK Karlskoga - Troja Ljungby	4:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.25	BIK Karlskoga - Troja Ljungby	5:1
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
16.02.22	BIK Karlskoga - Troja Ljungby	4:2
30.01.22	Troja Ljungby - BIK Karlskoga	1:4
22.10.21	BIK Karlskoga - Troja Ljungby	2:3

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