The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tyumensky Legion 15.3%
Draw 17.6%
Kuznetskie Medvedi 67.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
20.2%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
20.9%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumensky Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tyumensky Legion's form might have worsened.
Kuznetskie Medvedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kuznetskie Medvedi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumensky Legion than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tyumensky Legion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuznetskie Medvedi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tyumensky Legion - Kuznetskie Medvedi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
71. Maslennikov I. (G)
90. Khashin L. (G)
79. Bykov N.
12. Kryukov T. (C)
26. Derechev P.
16. Nosov I.
98. Klochanov A.
98. Gubin M.
72. Yepifanov M. (A)
92. Voronin D.
47. Chizhikov N. (A)
87. Gerasimov S.
Line 2
75. Dementyev L.
74. Petrov V.
74. Biketov D.
3. Logvin Y.
91. Redko R.
44. Afonin M.
81. Karpov S.
39. Margarit S.
52. Yanovsky I. (C)
95. Belogurov S.
Line 3
14. Shendrikov N.
34. Kutyavin L.
21. Babenko A.
66. Naumov T.
17. Pertsev D.
78. Shchipanov A. (A)
95. Lebedev A.
55. Popov Y.
15. Dubrovsky D.
22. Toroptsev G.
Line 4
32. Vorotnikov S.
91. Bogdanov K.
52. Ivanov D. (A)
29. Sokolov D.
Substitutes
29. Gomozov M. (G)
85. Gavrilko P.
60. Nurmagamedov R.
35. Pestryayev A. (G)
88. Vakhitov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09:22, 0 - 1, Belogurov S. (G), Kryukov T. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:45, 1 - 1, Klochanov A. (G), Chizhikov N. (A), Biketov D. (A2)
15:24, 2 - 1, Klochanov A. (G), Shendrikov N. (A), Chizhikov N. (A2)
16:48, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Nosov I. (A), Ivanov D. (A2)
19:38, 3 - 2, Klochanov A. (G), Babenko A. (A), Chizhikov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
10:22, 3 - 3, Gerasimov S. (G), Kutyavin L. (A), Gubin M. (A2)
13:51, 3 - 4, Nosov I. (G), Kryukov T. (A), Afonin M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumensky Legion won 1.
Tyumensky Legion is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kuznetskie Medvedi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kuznetskie Medvedi is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tyumensky Legion won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 44:59. (average 2.2:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tyumensky Legion won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 2:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Kuznetskie Medvedi - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.44%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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Maslennikov I. (G) 
Klochanov A. 
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