Match Info

NCAA

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Union Dutchmen		Harvard Crimson

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.55	2.85
	1.91	4.2	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.92)	4.38 ↑ (4.2)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Dutchmen
48%

Draw
20.8%

Harvard Crimson
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

21.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

20.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Dutchmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Harvard Crimson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Dutchmen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harvard Crimson than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Union Dutchmen - Harvard Crimson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Union have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harvard has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Union is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Union will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Union won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 3.5:3.8).

Including home match between the teams, Union won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Union Dutchmen: 0.54% Harvard Crimson: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Harvard Crimson - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Dutchmen hockey
NCAA Hockey
14.02.26	Union Dutchmen - Cornell Big Red	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Union Dutchmen - Colgate Raiders	7:6 ✺
07.02.26	Clarkson Golden Knights - Union Dutchmen	8:7 OT ✺
06.02.26	St. Lawrence Saints - Union Dutchmen	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Dartmouth Big Green - Union Dutchmen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Harvard Crimson hockey
NCAA Hockey
14.02.26	Yale Bulldogs - Harvard Crimson	3:2 OT ✺
13.02.26	Brown Bears - Harvard Crimson	3:2 penalties ✺
09.02.26	Harvard Crimson - Northeastern Huskies	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Harvard Crimson - Dartmouth Big Green	1:3 ✺
02.02.26	Boston College Eagles - Harvard Crimson	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
19.01.26	Harvard Crimson - Union Dutchmen	4:0
23.02.24	Union Dutchmen - Harvard Crimson	6:2
20.01.24	Harvard Crimson - Union Dutchmen	4:5 OT
17.02.23	Harvard Crimson - Union Dutchmen	5:3

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