Match Info

SWEDEN: HOCKEYALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 47

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday


	Västervik		Almtuna IS

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.2	2.18	Watch
	2.85	4	2.1
	2.76	4.12	2.24	Watch
	2.6	4	2.1
	2.86	3.72	2.29
	2.75	4	2.2
	2.69	3.98	2.21
	2.7	3.95	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	4 ↓ (4.25)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västervik
34.1%

Draw
23.3%

Almtuna IS
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

21.9%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

22.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västervik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Almtuna IS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västervik than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Västervik - Almtuna IS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Västervik is HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Västervik won 3.

Västervik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Almtuna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almtuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Västervik won 20 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 98-93.

Including matches at home between the teams Västervik won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 50-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerviks IK Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
21.02.24	Kalmar - Västervik	3:2 OT ✺
16.02.24	Södertälje - Västervik	7:2 ✺
14.02.24	Västervik - AIK	0:3 ✺
09.02.24	Västervik - Västerås	4:1 ✺
07.02.24	Tingsryd - Västervik	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Almtuna IS
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
21.02.24	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	2:1 OT ✺
16.02.24	BIK Karlskoga - Almtuna IS	10:0 ✺
14.02.24	Almtuna IS - Mora	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Brynäs - Almtuna IS	4:2 ✺
09.02.24	Almtuna IS - Nybro Vikings	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
26.01.24	Almtuna IS - Västervik	3:1
29.11.23	Västervik - Almtuna IS	3:5
25.10.23	Almtuna IS - Västervik	1:2 OT
10.03.23	Västervik - Almtuna IS	4:3 OT
25.01.23	Almtuna IS - Västervik	2:3 OT
30.11.22	Västervik - Almtuna IS	1:3
26.11.22	Almtuna IS - Västervik	2:6

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