Match Info

SWEDEN: HOCKEYALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 26

Date: 12 December 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	CMore Hockey


	Västervik		Modo

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.75	1.62
	3.75	4.6	1.67
	4.2	4.6	1.64
	3.9	4.4	1.65
	3.72	4.42	1.65
	3.7	5	1.53
	4.65	4.75	1.54
	4.1	4.7	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (5.75)	4.65 ↓ (5.25)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västervik
23%

Draw
19.9%

Modo
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

18.1%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

17.6%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västervik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Västervik's performance.

Modo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Modo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västervik than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Västervik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modo than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Västervik - Modo Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Västervik will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Modo will win (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Västervik: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Västervik won 1.

Recent matches Västervik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Modo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Modo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Modo is a favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Västervik won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 68-67.

Including matches at home between the teams Västervik won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerviks IK Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
09.12.22	Kristianstad - Västervik	4:0 ✺
07.12.22	Västervik - AIK	4:1 ✺
02.12.22	Björklöven - Västervik	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Västervik - Almtuna IS	1:3 ✺
26.11.22	Almtuna IS - Västervik	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLW
- Modo Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
07.12.22	Modo - Södertälje	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	AIK - Modo	2:4 ✺
02.12.22	Kristianstad - Modo	1:3 ✺
30.11.22	Tingsryd - Modo	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Modo - Björklöven	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
26.10.22	Västervik - Modo	0:1
29.12.21	Modo - Västervik	4:3 OT
26.10.21	Västervik - Modo	2:3 OT
29.09.21	Modo - Västervik	4:0
24.09.21	Västervik - Modo	5:2
08.01.21	Modo - Västervik	4:3 penalties
30.12.20	Västervik - Modo	5:0

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