The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vålerenga 70.3%
Draw 15.4%
Sparta Warriors 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
18.9%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
19.2%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga's performance.
Sparta Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Warriors than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vålerenga - Sparta Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Voutilainen J. (G)
32. Pietila B. (G)
6. Ekelund K.
18. Fagerudd M.
94. Larsson H. (A)
7. Ponomarenko M. (C)
91. McLaughlin B.
9. Hermansson J.
18. Modigs M.
41. Ohman V.
28. Karterud J.
11. Jakobsson K.
Line 2
21. Rokseth D. (A)
33. Lilleberg J.
42. Koch G.
6. Gloppen D.
81. Lasch R.
47. Johansen S.
33. Halmrast Johansen L.
25. Lalande F. (A)
22. Roymark M. (C)
86. Eliesen N.
Line 3
47. Danielsen A.
8. Jacobsen N.
13. Bjerke S.
16. Rydqvist H.
17. Christiansen M.
22. Thoresen S.
16. Henriksen M.
14. Knold H. (A)
19. Finstad P.
10. Ekhaugen T.
Line 4
24. Mowe H.
82. Eisenmenger M.
8. Nilsen H.
19. Thomassen L. N.
9. Torrissen C.
21. Thomas A.
63. Stenman E.
26. Faret V.
27. Nystuen S.
37. Millen A.
Substitutes
32. Arnkvaern M. (G)
31. Hagen Aarsund S. (G)
Coaches
. Johansen R.
. Holos J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
14:08, Faret V. (2 min),
16:14, 1 - 0, Karterud J. (G), Koch G. (A), Modigs M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:42, 2 - 0, Modigs M. (G), Larsson H. (A), McLaughlin B. (A2)
15:13, Halmrast Johansen L. (2 min),
18:03, 3 - 0, McLaughlin B. (G), Karterud J. (A), Modigs M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:59, Gloppen D. (2 min),
10:57, 3 - 1, Eliesen N. (G), Fagerudd M. (A), Johansen S. (A2)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 5.
Vålerenga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Sparta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vålerenga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vålerenga is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 72:45. (average 3.6:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 3.5:2.5).