Match Info

EHL

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Sparta Amfi (Sarpsborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sparta Warriors		Lillehammer

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.5	3.5	Watch
	1.71	3.86	3.36
	1.67	4.2	3.5
	1.73	4.25	3.63
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	4.16 ↑ (3.93)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Warriors
52.6%

Draw
21.7%

Lillehammer
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

23%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lillehammer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Warriors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Warriors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Sparta Warriors - Lillehammer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sparta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lillehammer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillehammer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Pietila B. (G)	31. Morck A. (G)
7. Ponomarenko M. (C)	15. Soudsky R. A.
15. Kovalenko D.	27. Falk K.
22. Thoresen S.	97. Nyhus E. A. (A)
14. Knold H. (A)	41. Ohman O. (A)
21. Thomas A.	16. Ellingsen A.
Line 2
33. Lilleberg J.	55. Christoffersen A. E.
6. Gloppen D.	29. Fosse C. (C)
9. Hermansson J.	28. Falk S.
82. Eisenmenger M.	26. Eidsa Arnestad J.
11. Jakobsson K.	14. Saetre L.
Line 3
18. Fagerudd M.	92. Skeltins E.
16. Rydqvist H.	9. Nilsson D.
17. Ahlsen S.	19. Fredriksen V.
47. Johansen S.	98. Leibnitz J.
86. Eliesen N.	18. Salsten V. O.
Line 4
94. Wagner A.
12. Bjerketvedt A. W.
37. Millen A.
10. Ekhaugen T.
Substitutes
31. Hagen Aarsund S. (G)	10. Engesveen J.
	77. Olsen M.
	70. Rooseboom T. (G)
Coaches
. Holos J.	. Akerman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:19, 1 - 0, Knold H. (G), Thomas A. (A), Thoresen S. (A2)
00:34, 1 - 1, Fosse C. (G), Saetre L. (A), Falk S. (A2)
16:53, 2 - 1, Hermansson J. (G), Kovalenko D. (A), Jakobsson K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:26, 2 - 2, Ellingsen A. (G), Ohman O. (A), Nyhus E. A. (A2)
08:52, Wagner A. (2 min),
09:48, Eliesen N. (5 min),
15:32, Engesveen J. (2 min),
17:57, 3 - 2, Kovalenko D. (G), Johansen S. (A), Ponomarenko M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
16:10, Nilsson D. (2 min),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Sparta is Qualified for EHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sparta is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 70:36. (average 3.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.4:1.8).

Outrights of Norwegian Ligaen Hockey for now

Lillehammer: 0.74%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Lillehammer	6	2	0	1	3	17:18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Warriors
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
31.01.26	Stjernen - Sparta Warriors	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Sparta Warriors - Frisk Tigers	0:5 ✺
27.01.26	Storhamar Dragons - Sparta Warriors	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sparta Warriors - Stjernen	6:2 ✺
22.01.26	Lørenskog - Sparta Warriors	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Lillehammer hockey
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
31.01.26	Frisk Tigers - Lillehammer	0:4 ✺
30.01.26	Lillehammer - Narvik	2:4 ✺
27.01.26	Lørenskog - Lillehammer	3:4 OT ✺
24.01.26	Lillehammer - Frisk Tigers	2:5 ✺
22.01.26	Stjernen - Lillehammer	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
30.12.25	Sparta Warriors - Lillehammer	5:1
29.11.25	Lillehammer - Sparta Warriors	0:2
16.10.25	Lillehammer - Sparta Warriors	5:4
02.10.25	Sparta Warriors - Lillehammer	2:1
27.02.25	Lillehammer - Sparta Warriors	0:5
30.12.24	Lillehammer - Sparta Warriors	2:4
28.11.24	Sparta Warriors - Lillehammer	2:3 penalties

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