Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - Round 39

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Netzsch-Arena (Selb)


	VER Selb		Krefeld Pinguine

	1	X	2
	4	4.5	1.62
	4.05	4.4	1.59
	3.92	4.29	1.6
	4.14	4.54	1.63	Watch
	4.2	4.5	1.57
	4.11	4.45	1.61
	4.05	4.4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↓ (4.18)	4.44 ↓ (4.49)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VER Selb
22.4%

Draw
20.6%

Krefeld Pinguine
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

20.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VER Selb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Krefeld Pinguine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VER Selb than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krefeld Pinguine than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

VER Selb - Krefeld Pinguine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Weidekamp M. (G)	30. Schulte J. (G)
52. Sproul R.	55. Vandane D.
38. Stowasser S.	41. Raabe S.
47. Miglio N.	12. Marcinew M.
10. Smith R.	37. Newton M.
91. Winquist J.	29. Cerny D.
Line 2
11. Marusch L.	60. Riefers P.
7. Hordler F.	48. Adam M.
28. George J.	6. Lessio L.
9. Raedeke B.	11. Matsumoto J.
63. Bassen C.	91. Fischer M.
Line 3
42. Heyter T.	76. Soll M.
59. Glassl M.	15. Buschmann E.
71. Kiedewicz A.	67. Hops M.
45. McMillan C.	57. Kretschmann C.
22. Campbell C.	17. Niederberger L.
Line 4
74. Raab M.
23. Hofmann J.
17. Park S.
79. Krymskiy N.
Substitutes
37. Carr K. (G)	31. Bick F. (G)
	71. Focks N.
	27. Trinkberger D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:20, 0 - 1, Marcinew M. (G), Cerny D. (A), Newton M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:16, 0 - 2, Newton M. (G), Raabe S. (A), Marcinew M. (A2)
05:19, 0 - 3, Lessio L. (G), Fischer M. (A), Adam M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
02:36, 1 - 3, Raedeke B. (G), Winquist J. (A), Sproul R. (A2)
08:18, 1 - 4, Marcinew M. (G), Cerny D. (A),
14:34, 2 - 4, Raedeke B. (G), Bassen C. (A),
16:29, 3 - 4, Smith R. (G), McMillan C. (A), Raedeke B. (A2)
19:45, 3 - 5, Vandane D. (G), Newton M. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Selb won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Krefeld Pinguine is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Selb won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:38 (average 1.9:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Selb won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 2.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VER Selb
German DEL2
19.01.25	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - VER Selb	2:3 penalties ✺
17.01.25	VER Selb - Landshut Cannibals	4:5 OT ✺
12.01.25	VER Selb - Starbulls Rosenheim	2:4 ✺
10.01.25	Ravensburg - VER Selb	7:4 ✺
05.01.25	VER Selb - Lausitzer Füchse	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLLW
- Krefeld Pinguine
German DEL2
19.01.25	Regensburg - Krefeld Pinguine	2:3 OT ✺
17.01.25	Krefeld Pinguine - Kaufbeuren	5:0 ✺
12.01.25	Krefeld Pinguine - Crimmitschau	3:0 ✺
10.01.25	Weiden - Krefeld Pinguine	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Krefeld Pinguine - EHC Freiburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
15.12.24	Krefeld Pinguine - VER Selb	1:2
20.10.24	VER Selb - Krefeld Pinguine	2:5
13.09.24	Krefeld Pinguine - VER Selb	8:0
01.03.24	VER Selb - Krefeld Pinguine	4:1
15.12.23	Krefeld Pinguine - VER Selb	3:1
10.12.23	VER Selb - Krefeld Pinguine	3:4 OT
17.09.23	Krefeld Pinguine - VER Selb	4:0

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