Match Info

ITALY: IHL - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Palazzetto del ghiaccio di Cavalese (Cavalese)


	Valdifiemme		Falcons Bressanone

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	4.8
	1.4	5.5	5.62
	1.4	5.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	5.33 ↓ (5.5)	5.07 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdifiemme
65%

Draw
17.1%

Falcons Bressanone
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

16.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

16%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdifiemme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Falcons Bressanone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdifiemme than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valdifiemme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcons Bressanone than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Lineups

Line 1
69. Tononi M. (G)	8. Bedin N.
86. Schmid J.	15. Cassibba M.
14. Willeit C.	19. Hofer E.
92. Kizlo R.	76. Kaser M.
64. Nicolao P.	78. Kirchler J.
44. Tomi V.	66. Kruselburger L.
	22. Lanz G.
	11. Magro A.
	16. Niccolai M.
	7. Nitz R.
	3. Oberhuber F.
	24. Oberrauch M.
	77. Pezzetta N.
	12. Phelps Ch.
	43. Pohlin R.
	88. Rainer I.
	21. Stupak B.
	13. Tsurkan Y.
	17. Venturi A.
Line 2
5. Tessadri N.
90. Defrancesco A.
28. Odorizzi A.
11. Lazzeri G.
9. Popovic M.
Line 3
80. Chelodi E.
31. Misconel G.
17. Stanko V.
3. De Baldo M.
12. Weber C.
Substitutes
36. Bonelli E.
13. Bortolotti R.
32. Peiti S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:06, 1 - 0, Odorizzi A. (G), Misconel G. (A), Popovic M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:06, 2 - 0, Willeit C. (G), Nicolao P. (A), Kizlo R. (A2)
08:29, 3 - 0, Nicolao P. (G), Willeit C. (A), Kizlo R. (A2)
09:00, 3 - 1, Stupak B. (G), Rainer I. (A), Phelps Ch. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:39, 3 - 2, Niccolai M. (G), Stupak B. (A), Kruselburger L. (A2)
08:55, 4 - 2, Tomi V. (G), Nicolao P. (A),
13:37, 5 - 2, Popovic M. (G), Chelodi E. (A), De Baldo M. (A2)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valdifiemme HC
Italian IHL
07.12.24	Valdifiemme - Zinnen Dolomites	5:1 ✺
01.12.24	Fassa - Valdifiemme	2:5 ✺
09.11.24	Valdifiemme - Como	3:2 OT ✺
03.11.24	Valdifiemme - Alleghe	5:2 ✺
24.10.24	Valdifiemme - Pergine	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWL
- HC Falcons Bressanone
Italian IHL
12.12.24	Falcons Bressanone - Fassa	7:5 ✺
07.12.24	Como - Falcons Bressanone	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Fassa - Falcons Bressanone	4:3 ✺
03.11.24	Falcons Bressanone - Aosta	1:9 ✺
24.10.24	Falcons Bressanone - Kaltern	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian IHL
19.10.24	Falcons Bressanone - Valdifiemme	4:6
17.02.24	Falcons Bressanone - Valdifiemme	2:3 OT
13.01.24	Valdifiemme - Falcons Bressanone	1:2 penalties
23.02.23	Falcons Bressanone - Valdifiemme	4:5

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