Match Info

IHL - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Valpellice		Aosta

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.5	1.83
	3.00	4.75	1.85
	3.05	4	1.85
	3.05	4.35	1.77
	3.22	4.5	1.77
	3.05	4.4	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)	4.42 ↓ (4.48)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valpellice
29.6%

Draw
20.4%

Aosta
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

19.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valpellice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Aosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valpellice - Aosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:39, 0 - 1, Ghiglione D. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:27, 0 - 2, Mocellin M. (G), Fraschetta G. (A), Ghiglione D. (A2)
18:06, 1 - 2, Piccoli G. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
13:25, 1 - 3, Moberg T. (G), Mazzocchi M. (A),
13:45, 1 - 4, Lysenko V. (G), Ghiglione D. (A),
18:12, 2 - 4, Rosso M. (G),
19:34, 2 - 5, Lysenko V. (G), Nimenko D. (A),

Preview

Aosta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Aosta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Valpellice has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 4:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valpellice against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Aosta	4	4	0	0	0	17:6	12
7	Valpellice	3	1	0	0	2	9:12	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Valpellice
Italian IHL
19.09.26	Alleghe - Valpellice	7:4
12.02.26	Valpellice - Valdifiemme	4:2 ✺
23.12.25	Aosta - Valpellice	6:3 ✺
29.11.25	Valpellice - Falcons Bressanone	4:1 ✺
15.11.25	Valpellice - Alleghe	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- HC Aosta
Italian IHL
26.09.26	Aosta - Feltreghiaccio	4:1
19.09.26	Aosta - Valdifiemme	3:0
09.04.26	Aosta - Kaltern	4:3 OT ✺
07.04.26	Kaltern - Aosta	4:3 OT ✺
31.03.26	Aosta - Kaltern	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian IHL
23.12.25	Aosta - Valpellice	6:3
30.10.25	Valpellice - Aosta	5:2

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