The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vancouver Giants 23.8%
Draw 16.7%
Portland Winterhawks 59.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.9%
18.6%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
19%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver Giants's form might have worsened.
Portland Winterhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Winterhawks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Giants than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Winterhawks than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Winterhawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Pyne K. (G)
32. Chase C. (G)
24. Charko S.
28. Brown N.
16. Chorney B.
72. Brown R.
15. Domenichelli Leonardo
22. Darby G.
18. Gerrior C.
92. Domenichelli A.
2. Hartmann K.
9. Duguay J.
22. Iginla J.
86. Free N.
6. McCloskey L.
27. Gustafson J.
7. McKenzie Q.
8. Matthews C.
27. Mittelsteadt E. (A)
18. McDonough K. (A)
12. Olson B.
24. McLaughlin W.
20. Oreskovic J. (A)
14. Miller B.
8. Pawlenchuk J.
23. Miller R. (C)
17. Pura L.
77. Psenicka M.
10. Riggall B.
12. Slobodian C. (A)
19. Sharpe W.
46. Spehar F.
34. Skok J.
15. Spehar S.
21. Titlbach A.
47. Tsakumis N.
13. Tomik T.
88. Weiermair A.
96. Wilfley L.
Substitutes
35. Hood B. (G)
1. Stebetak O. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
14:45, 1 - 0, McCloskey L. (G), Gerrior C. (A), Sharpe W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:15, 1 - 1, Weiermair A. (G), Free N. (A),
13:13, 2 - 1, Gerrior C. (G), Tomik T. (A), Riggall B. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 1.
Vancouver is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Portland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Portland could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 58:86. (average 2.9:4.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 2.8:3.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Vancouver Giants - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.94%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.