Match Info

ELJ - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Winter stadium Ivana Hlinky (Litvinov)


	Verva Litvínov U20		Oceláři Třinec U20

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.48
	4.3	4.8	1.52
	4.7	4.58	1.45
	15.00	11.24	1.06	Watch
	4.74	4.75	1.5
	4.3	4.8	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (4.75)	5.82 ↑ (4.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verva Litvínov U20
15.4%

Draw
16.6%

Oceláři Třinec U20
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

19.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

19.3%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verva Litvínov U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Oceláři Třinec U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oceláři Třinec U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verva Litvínov U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec U20 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oceláři Třinec U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Verva Litvínov U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Balik L. (G)	3. Javorek M. (G)
18. Babka A.	81. Blahuta J.
29. Bednarik J.	16. Byrtus D.
27. Bozsenik D.	18. Dohnal J.
71. Cech D. (C)	49. Hebar A.
10. Kapura R.	62. Hladonik V.
78. Kastanek T.	48. Horvath A.
28. Klempir A.	85. Marek J.
21. Micek T.	58. Mikula M. (A)
36. Novak B.	43. Niemczyk P.
91. Peroutka J.	53. Ostrizek J.
16. Peroutka M.	44. Pospisil M.
3. Placens J.	17. Rehak R.
32. Postl S.	26. Ripa D.
20. Prokes D. (A)	39. Rybnikar M. (A)
88. Raichl V.	19. Spevacek V. (C)
31. Rambousek M.	55. Svancara R.
81. Scafari A.	21. Vojacek M.
79. Sousek P. (A)	33. Weiss M.
23. Spaskin M.	37. Zielinski A.
Substitutes
7. Udrzal K. (G)	2. Celko D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
01:07, 0 - 1, Spevacek V. (G), Mikula M. (A),
08:17, 0 - 2, Svancara R. (G), Rybnikar M. (A),
13:33, 1 - 2, Novak B. (G), Bednarik J. (A), Cech D. (A2)
19:20, 1 - 3, Dohnal J. (G), Pospisil M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:46, 1 - 4, Hebar A. (G), Hladonik V. (A),
07:57, 1 - 5, Vojacek M. (G), Spevacek V. (A),
16:36, 2 - 5, Cech D. (G), Peroutka M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
01:09, 2 - 6, Mikula M. (G), Dohnal J. (A),
04:32, 3 - 6, Cech D. (Penalty Shot),
11:17, 3 - 7, Dohnal J. (G), Mikula M. (A), Spevacek V. (A2)
13:35, 3 - 8, Ripa D. (G), Weiss M. (A), Niemczyk P. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litvínov U20 won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Litvínov U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Třinec U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Litvínov U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 40:63. (average 2.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Litvínov U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 2:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Verva Litvínov U20
Czech ELJ
29.09.25	Energie Karlovy Vary U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	3:4 ✺
27.09.25	Pardubice U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	4:5 ✺
20.09.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Motor České Budějovice U20	1:7 ✺
18.09.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Plzen U20	4:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWLL
- Oceláři Třinec U20
Czech ELJ
29.09.25	Zlin U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Dukla Jihlava U20	6:1 ✺
26.09.25	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Kometa Brno U20	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Oceláři Třinec U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Slavia Prague U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
22.02.25	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	7:1
24.01.25	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	1:0
03.01.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	0:4
30.11.24	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	0:2
05.10.24	Verva Litvínov U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	1:2
14.01.23	Verva Litvínov U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	1:2
26.11.22	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	4:5 OT

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