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Current Win Probability
Victoria Royals 45.4%
Draw 21.1%
Brandon Wheat Kings 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
21.8%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
24%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Royals's performance.
Brandon Wheat Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Wheat Kings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Royals than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Wheat Kings than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
59. Proskurin V. (G)
30. Ruzicka F. (G)
23. Brown A.
6. Allard C.
25. Compton E.
17. Baumuller J. (A)
89. Cooper M.
14. Bhathal P.
16. Danyleyko W.
12. Boehm N.
24. Kohn J.
91. Boyce R.
9. Matthews C.
93. Ellingsen L.
19. Moore H. (A)
71. Fayad A.
12. Moore R.
23. Gleasman G.
18. Novak F.
13. Grubb C.
73. Peroutka M.
9. Jacobson J. (C)
88. Schmidt C. (A)
8. Jim C.
7. Schulte S.
96. McGregor J.
17. Stewart N.
89. Muissu Z.
53. Uhrina D.
2. Slobodian C.
4. Vauhkonen O.
11. Surkan C.
14. Virk S. (A)
7. Turko B. (A)
44. Yellowaga N.
22. Wilson B.
74. Young L.
24. Young E.
Substitutes
1. Prelusky C. (G)
29. Budd R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
02:57, 1 - 0, Virk S. (G), Schmidt C. (A), Vauhkonen O. (A2)
08:00, 1 - 1, Muissu Z. (G), Jacobson J. (A), Baumuller J. (A2)
11:05, 1 - 2, Grubb C. (G), Turko B. (A),
17:50, 1 - 3, Wilson B. (G), Slobodian C. (A), Grubb C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:43, 1 - 4, Jacobson J. (G), Surkan C. (A), Muissu Z. (A2)
13:44, 1 - 5, Surkan C. (G), Jacobson J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:16, 1 - 6, Grubb C. (G), Muissu Z. (A), Jacobson J. (A2)
17:36, 2 - 6, Uhrina D. (G), Novak F. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Victoria could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Victoria has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:39 (averaging 3.1:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Victoria against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:16 goals (averaging 3.4:3.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Brandon Wheat Kings - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.