Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: VBO Arena (Vimmerby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Vimmerby		Södertälje

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.3	1.8
	3.2	3.95	2.03	Watch
	3.1	3.83	1.92
	3.22	4.11	1.94	Watch
	3.21	3.9	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.87)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	1.92 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vimmerby
28.5%

Draw
23.1%

Södertälje
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

23.1%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

22.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vimmerby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Södertälje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vimmerby than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vimmerby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Södertälje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vimmerby - Södertälje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Christoffersson R. (G)	73. Harenstam L. (G)
21. Bochen N.	15. Carlson A.
27. Alftberg W.	27. Norbe D.
58. Lejon H.	91. Vanderbeck A.
54. Lissel A.	9. Zackrisson P.
23. Orrsten H.	8. Wia W.
Line 2
33. Hurtig A.	82. Laavainen R.
22. Lindgren E.	5. Ahnelov J.
11. Svensson V.	45. Dyk S.
12. Limpar Lantz M.	95. Vayrynen T.
81. Mornsjo J.	72. Teissala L.
Line 3
6. Hjalm A.	21. Windlert F.
7. Malmkvist G.	44. Arell N.
13. Svensson F.	23. Eriksson W.
92. Caderoth A.	19. Harlestam H.
19. Carlsson A.	12. Liljegren V.
Line 4
45. Andersson I.	48. Hallquisth W.
29. Petersson A.	28. Hesselvall A.
10. Karlsson J.	16. Engaras F.
24. Davidsson O.	13. Eriksson H.
Substitutes
72. Eltonius P. (G)	88. Holst-Persson F.
60. Parna M.	53. Westerholm N. (G)
Coaches
	. Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:03, 0 - 1, Vanderbeck A. (G), Wia W. (A), Zackrisson P. (A2)
11:33, 1 - 1, Mornsjo J. (G), Svensson V. (A), Limpar Lantz M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Vanderbeck A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Petersson A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Teissala L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Carlsson A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Wia W. (Penalty Shot),
3, Karlsson J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Vanderbeck A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Malmkvist G. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vimmerby won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Södertälje might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Vimmerby will win today's game, with odds of 3.15.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vimmerby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 2.3:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vimmerby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.8:4).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Sodertalje: 17.42% Vimmerby: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Sodertalje	9	4	1	1	3	30:23	15
12	Vimmerby	9	1	1	2	5	27:37	7

Last Results with these Odds

Vimmerby - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Södertälje - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vimmerby HC
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
01.03.26	Vimmerby - AIK	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Almtuna IS - Vimmerby	5:1 ✺
25.02.26	Vimmerby - Östersund	3:1 ✺
23.02.26	Vimmerby - BIK Karlskoga	5:1 ✺
16.02.26	Kalmar - Vimmerby	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWL
- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
01.03.26	Södertälje - Östersund	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	AIK - Södertälje	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Södertälje - Björklöven	2:4 ✺
23.02.26	Troja Ljungby - Södertälje	1:2 OT ✺
16.02.26	Troja Ljungby - Södertälje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
04.02.26	Södertälje - Vimmerby	3:2
26.11.25	Södertälje - Vimmerby	6:3
15.10.25	Vimmerby - Södertälje	5:2
05.03.25	Södertälje - Vimmerby	4:1
22.01.25	Vimmerby - Södertälje	1:5
15.11.24	Södertälje - Vimmerby	5:2
29.09.24	Vimmerby - Södertälje	1:3

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